{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f1537f4a-af1d-458d-bee3-7ae8347066f8", "symbol": "OGUN-B", "name": "Ogunsen AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -42.82, "architecture_energy": 31.929, "architecture_maturity": 49.305, "architecture_confidence": 63.893, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.38, "rotation_up": 25.43, "upward_expansion": 16.03, "deceleration": 63.25, "rotation_down": 33.69, "downward_expansion": 61.36 }, "activity_lines": [ 25.64, 25.52, 26.298923, 26.813833 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 25.700001, "trend_reference": 27.52389, "distance_from_trend": -0.066266, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 28.157967, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.087292, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -15.072217, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.138131, "excess_performance": -0.199626, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.066266, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.030167, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.087292, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.06178, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.150722, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.107008, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.138131, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.486711, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 35629, "relative_activity": 0.944346, "balance": 0.486711, "dry_up": 0.764417, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.049686, "annualized_volatility": 0.225983, "from_high_reference": -0.194732, "from_low_reference": 0.143072 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 27.52389, "fair_value_reference": 28.157967, "structural_low": 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26.174546, 27.129973, 27.608372 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 25.4, "volume": 11797, "typical_volume": 41197.0, "trend": 28.172313, "fair_value": 28.272557, "relative_strength": -13.630706, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.287258, "energy": 69.383086, "activity_lines": [ 25.313333, 25.918182, 26.924672, 27.422981 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 25.1, "volume": 26440, "typical_volume": 39149.9, "trend": 28.019779, "fair_value": 28.237908, "relative_strength": -13.577337, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.895481, "energy": 59.102997, "activity_lines": [ 25.26, 25.656364, 26.703903, 27.224767 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 25.5, "volume": 21855, "typical_volume": 37696.55, "trend": 27.851998, "fair_value": 28.207925, "relative_strength": -13.474535, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.410607, "energy": 44.748202, "activity_lines": [ 25.36, 25.52, 26.537802, 27.062201 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 26.0, "volume": 31438, "typical_volume": 38016.45, "trend": 27.697707, "fair_value": 28.183251, "relative_strength": -12.696152, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.800935, "energy": 35.584851, "activity_lines": [ 25.573333, 25.529091, 26.429453, 26.942717 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 25.700001, "volume": 35629, "typical_volume": 37728.75, "trend": 27.52389, "fair_value": 28.157967, "relative_strength": -15.072217, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -42.819683, "energy": 31.929451, "activity_lines": [ 25.64, 25.52, 26.298923, 26.813833 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }