{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f1541c5d-8b16-40e8-8550-41ac2808060e", "symbol": "603381", "name": "Yonz Technology Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.991, "architecture_energy": 65.52, "architecture_maturity": 43.414, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.43, "rotation_up": 24.88, "upward_expansion": 12.0, "deceleration": 52.21, "rotation_down": 59.56, "downward_expansion": 85.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 14.348667, 14.83, 17.248238, 19.234086 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 14.92, "trend_reference": 21.228333, "distance_from_trend": -0.297166, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 21.642395, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.310612, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -30.530589, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.318721, "excess_performance": -0.275518, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.297166, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.075246, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.310612, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.401846, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.305306, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.283616, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.318721, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.215988, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 20616754, "relative_activity": 0.803732, "balance": 0.215988, "dry_up": 0.797292, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.116931, "annualized_volatility": 0.569166, "from_high_reference": -0.536934, "from_low_reference": 0.139801 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 21.228333, "fair_value_reference": 21.642395, "structural_low": 13.09, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.102719, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.065149, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.189498, "worst_return": -0.076728, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.154078, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.149698, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.154078, "worst_return": 0.154078, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.258812, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.265696, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.258812, "worst_return": -0.258812, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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16.245636, 19.046762, 20.645871 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 13.41, "volume": 21890774, "typical_volume": 30367749.45, "trend": 21.582333, "fair_value": 21.770217, "relative_strength": -36.488385, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.610938, "energy": 90.126056, "activity_lines": [ 14.201333, 15.436, 18.303857, 20.104753 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 14.56, "volume": 20081669, "typical_volume": 27777966.85, "trend": 21.393, "fair_value": 21.704069, "relative_strength": -30.840949, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.893106, "energy": 76.177273, "activity_lines": [ 14.187333, 15.024, 17.730667, 19.651699 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 14.92, "volume": 20616754, "typical_volume": 25651271.0, "trend": 21.228333, "fair_value": 21.642395, "relative_strength": -30.530589, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.991317, "energy": 65.519926, "activity_lines": [ 14.348667, 14.83, 17.248238, 19.234086 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }