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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3c", "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch", "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 21.304, "architecture_energy": 19.328, "architecture_maturity": 92.753, "architecture_confidence": 45.24, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 42.81, "rotation_up": 36.64, "upward_expansion": 66.27, "deceleration": 62.16, "rotation_down": 26.72, "downward_expansion": 16.27 }, "activity_lines": [ 74.136475, 74.459795, 73.751343, 73.011484 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 70.879997, "trend_reference": 71.725745, "distance_from_trend": -0.011791, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 54.926961, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.290441, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -8.38894, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.062851, "excess_performance": -0.057571, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.011791, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.042192, "read": "Rising" 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"regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.52355, "energy": 75.956009, "activity_lines": [ 75.923207, 74.984044, 73.773122, 72.823359 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 74.910004, "volume": 7135300, "typical_volume": 4764190.0, "trend": 71.582292, "fair_value": 54.755407, "relative_strength": -0.353704, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.702848, "energy": 50.796555, "activity_lines": [ 75.682084, 75.102102, 73.95943, 73.056793 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 70.879997, "volume": 5767800, "typical_volume": 4777110.0, "trend": 71.725745, "fair_value": 54.926961, "relative_strength": -8.38894, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 21.30394, "energy": 19.328247, "activity_lines": [ 74.136475, 74.459795, 73.751343, 73.011484 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }