{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "f15c767d-8874-4ac9-a13f-5f9185883fce",
    "symbol": "HTB",
    "name": "HomeTrust Bancshares, Inc.",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 68.426,
    "architecture_energy": 52.18,
    "architecture_maturity": 46.177,
    "architecture_confidence": 85.726,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 9.26,
        "rotation_up": 59.66,
        "upward_expansion": 80.77,
        "deceleration": 60.25,
        "rotation_down": 20.1,
        "downward_expansion": 7.43
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        50.118667,
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        48.305968,
        47.079054
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 50.8,
    "trend_reference": 45.63659,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.113142,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 34.658398,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.465734,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 3.873085,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.14741,
    "excess_performance": 0.021785,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.113142,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.053701,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.465734,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.04828,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.038731,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.036219,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.14741,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.023578,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 771311,
      "relative_activity": 1.618517,
      "balance": 2.023578,
      "dry_up": 1.364836,
      "accumulation_observations": 6,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.043915,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.150814,
      "from_high_reference": -0.032381,
      "from_low_reference": 0.371265
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 45.63659,
      "fair_value_reference": 34.658398,
      "structural_low": 40.62726,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 29,
        "median_return": -0.010471,
        "positive_rate": 0.413793,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.413793,
        "median_excess_return": -0.012107,
        "regime_survival": 0.655172,
        "best_return": 0.223703,
        "worst_return": -0.151281,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 12,
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        "positive_rate": 0.583333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.583333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.00266,
        "regime_survival": 0.583333,
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        "worst_return": -0.302969,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
        "median_excess_return": 0.008451,
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        "worst_return": -0.129341,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.085327,
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        "worst_return": -0.222248,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": 2.892675,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 33.973595,
        "relative_strength": 2.87306,
        "stage": 2,
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        "direction": 63.905104,
        "energy": 64.555872,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 448460.2,
        "trend": 44.913084,
        "fair_value": 34.143745,
        "relative_strength": 4.851266,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.329062,
        "energy": 53.885295,
        "activity_lines": [
          49.023333,
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          47.143097,
          46.092498
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 48.7,
        "volume": 489411,
        "typical_volume": 453231.8,
        "trend": 45.098725,
        "fair_value": 34.304071,
        "relative_strength": 4.649695,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.89862,
        "energy": 46.494388,
        "activity_lines": [
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          47.419711,
          46.336815
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 51.19,
        "volume": 693704,
        "typical_volume": 466470.55,
        "trend": 45.38658,
        "fair_value": 34.482084,
        "relative_strength": 8.567233,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 76.074817,
        "energy": 53.573447,
        "activity_lines": [
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          49.174909,
          47.903143,
          46.729801
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 50.8,
        "volume": 771311,
        "typical_volume": 476554.1,
        "trend": 45.63659,
        "fair_value": 34.658398,
        "relative_strength": 3.873085,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.426002,
        "energy": 52.180165,
        "activity_lines": [
          50.118667,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}