{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f17fa1e3-a8dc-4b18-a6ad-fb533324277a", "symbol": "6735", "name": "AMIDA Technology, Inc.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 90.952, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -34.512, "architecture_energy": 67.42, "architecture_maturity": 22.307, "architecture_confidence": 82.175, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.83, "rotation_up": 14.55, "upward_expansion": 30.76, "deceleration": 49.11, "rotation_down": 76.4, "downward_expansion": 62.76 }, "activity_lines": [ 64.278812, 70.454102, 83.193971, 82.614758 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 62.799999, "trend_reference": 78.878798, "distance_from_trend": -0.203842, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 62.581117, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.003498, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -36.788811, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.083021, "excess_performance": -0.358351, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.203842, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.083612, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.003498, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.073082, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.367888, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.723623, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.083021, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.142014, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 679102, "relative_activity": 0.245155, "balance": 0.142014, "dry_up": 0.282031, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.181594, "annualized_volatility": 0.823965, "from_high_reference": -0.575485, "from_low_reference": 0.498585 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 78.878798, "fair_value_reference": 62.581117, "structural_low": 50.56452, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.007648, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.017073, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.109515, "worst_return": -0.198095, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.007692, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.020452, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.260323, "worst_return": -0.31517, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.058174, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.107251, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.438061, "worst_return": -0.495285, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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"amber", "start": "2025-04-04", "end": "2025-04-04", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-11", "end": "2025-08-22", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.129826, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-08-29", "end": "2025-09-12", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.361256, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-09-19", "end": "2025-10-24", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.144089, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-31", "end": "2025-12-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.181556, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-01-02", "end": "2026-01-23", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.238779, "active": false }, 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"activity_lines": [ 68.455749, 76.913218, 87.768411, 84.432066 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 65.699997, "volume": 1061227, "typical_volume": 2743951.6, "trend": 78.51053, "fair_value": 62.439182, "relative_strength": -31.773092, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -30.136841, "energy": 64.54581, "activity_lines": [ 66.108333, 73.577537, 85.642601, 83.628341 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 62.799999, "volume": 679102, "typical_volume": 2770095.45, "trend": 78.878798, "fair_value": 62.581117, "relative_strength": -36.788811, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -34.512384, "energy": 67.420115, "activity_lines": [ 64.278812, 70.454102, 83.193971, 82.614758 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }