{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "f181a6d7-226d-4ef7-954b-5c8ce876b2c1",
    "symbol": "ADPR34",
    "name": "Automatic Data Processing, Inc.",
    "exchange": "SAO",
    "country": "BR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^BVSP",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 84.569,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 75.692,
    "architecture_energy": 86.354,
    "architecture_maturity": 23.293,
    "architecture_confidence": 66.093,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 15.78,
        "rotation_up": 82.65,
        "upward_expansion": 98.7,
        "deceleration": 39.23,
        "rotation_down": 9.28,
        "downward_expansion": 20.7
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        55.308,
        53.467173,
        50.231009,
        48.767592
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 56.279999,
    "trend_reference": 48.260622,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.166168,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 57.762132,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.025659,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -1.148045,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.086662,
    "excess_performance": 0.143711,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.166168,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.039176,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.025659,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.208294,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.01148,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.37354,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.086662,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.085567,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 0.085567,
      "dry_up": 0.061217,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.056414,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.376656,
      "from_high_reference": -0.184108,
      "from_low_reference": 0.443077
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 48.260622,
      "fair_value_reference": 57.762132,
      "structural_low": 39.0,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.037117,
        "positive_rate": 0.857143,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.857143,
        "median_excess_return": 0.019182,
        "regime_survival": 0.428571,
        "best_return": 0.100293,
        "worst_return": -0.078451,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.044552,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.123617,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.016998,
        "worst_return": -0.114757,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.059987,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.046511,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.270174,
        "worst_return": -0.21075,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.043899,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.263058,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.30743,
        "worst_return": -0.332889,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-10-20",
        "end": "2023-10-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2023-10-27",
        "end": "2023-12-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.064022,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2023-12-15",
        "end": "2024-01-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.029776,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-02-02",
        "end": "2024-03-22",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.011051,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-03-29",
        "end": "2024-04-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0077,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-04-19",
        "end": "2025-01-24",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.402467,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-31",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.032163,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-05-09",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.046407,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-05-16",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.074534,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-06-06",
        "end": "2025-06-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.072106,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-06-27",
        "end": "2025-07-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.019447,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-07-11",
        "end": "2026-06-05",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.279509,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-06-12",
        "end": "2026-07-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.090664,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-07-10",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.100293,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
        "close": 49.927082,
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        "typical_volume": 390.95,
        "trend": 44.346885,
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        "relative_strength": 3.081908,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-08-25",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-15",
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        "date": "2023-09-22",
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        "volume": 372,
        "typical_volume": 2868.7,
        "trend": 52.470178,
        "fair_value": 57.175091,
        "relative_strength": -44.017366,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -67.194084,
        "energy": 70.541764,
        "activity_lines": [
          41.002061,
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          45.55318,
          48.585221
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 43.811069,
        "volume": 43,
        "typical_volume": 2868.9,
        "trend": 51.778162,
        "fair_value": 57.191134,
        "relative_strength": -38.501995,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -63.278528,
        "energy": 57.902601,
        "activity_lines": [
          41.88845,
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          45.036968,
          48.026569
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 44.766079,
        "volume": 337,
        "typical_volume": 2880.5,
        "trend": 51.165165,
        "fair_value": 57.213299,
        "relative_strength": -33.92861,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -49.720189,
        "energy": 45.511922,
        "activity_lines": [
          43.039104,
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          44.684851,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 46.85516,
        "volume": 345,
        "typical_volume": 2897.25,
        "trend": 50.639953,
        "fair_value": 57.248062,
        "relative_strength": -29.451131,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -38.147708,
        "energy": 22.816794,
        "activity_lines": [
          44.527989,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 45.56192,
        "volume": 5,
        "typical_volume": 2850.45,
        "trend": 50.228368,
        "fair_value": 57.269715,
        "relative_strength": -29.419443,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -31.105784,
        "energy": 24.49825,
        "activity_lines": [
          45.217718,
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          44.456883,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 49.784512,
        "volume": 59,
        "typical_volume": 2853.3,
        "trend": 49.997132,
        "fair_value": 57.319554,
        "relative_strength": -19.64642,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": 6.807947,
        "energy": 20.35505,
        "activity_lines": [
          47.005263,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 48.310001,
        "volume": 2,
        "typical_volume": 2848.65,
        "trend": 49.758322,
        "fair_value": 57.353313,
        "relative_strength": -21.910691,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": 0.399936,
        "energy": 21.973624,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 48.310001,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2770.35,
        "trend": 49.527431,
        "fair_value": 57.402292,
        "relative_strength": -19.794196,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": 1.286731,
        "energy": 22.939804,
        "activity_lines": [
          48.141503,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 48.310001,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2767.65,
        "trend": 49.256943,
        "fair_value": 57.44225,
        "relative_strength": -21.068636,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": 1.892254,
        "energy": 26.267341,
        "activity_lines": [
          48.323397,
          47.166418,
          45.543077,
          46.65903
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 52.689999,
        "volume": 100,
        "typical_volume": 2702.45,
        "trend": 49.049964,
        "fair_value": 57.504454,
        "relative_strength": -13.526886,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 44.170475,
        "energy": 60.04305,
        "activity_lines": [
          49.868301,
          48.42387,
          46.261073,
          46.880517
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 51.150002,
        "volume": 13417,
        "typical_volume": 2799.45,
        "trend": 48.805817,
        "fair_value": 57.553657,
        "relative_strength": -16.74689,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 33.413374,
        "energy": 56.029828,
        "activity_lines": [
          50.424667,
          49.187254,
          46.801701,
          47.016003
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 54.75,
        "volume": 27,
        "typical_volume": 2130.8,
        "trend": 48.658466,
        "fair_value": 57.614031,
        "relative_strength": -7.742104,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 57.086271,
        "energy": 72.341268,
        "activity_lines": [
          52.090001,
          50.422732,
          47.660537,
          47.399499
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 54.150002,
        "volume": 4,
        "typical_volume": 1553.75,
        "trend": 48.478518,
        "fair_value": 57.656136,
        "relative_strength": -7.798432,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 47.852281,
        "energy": 74.31351,
        "activity_lines": [
          53.126001,
          51.350229,
          48.415469,
          47.753792
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 56.279999,
        "volume": 281,
        "typical_volume": 1308.8,
        "trend": 48.367581,
        "fair_value": 57.714965,
        "relative_strength": -5.196209,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 51.524378,
        "energy": 73.609909,
        "activity_lines": [
          54.482667,
          52.494381,
          49.349572,
          48.257113
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 56.279999,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 1274.15,
        "trend": 48.260622,
        "fair_value": 57.762132,
        "relative_strength": -1.148045,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.692495,
        "energy": 86.353523,
        "activity_lines": [
          55.308,
          53.467173,
          50.231009,
          48.767592
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}