{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f1912d3c-1e22-48f4-9691-ff2ee36c8c9c", "symbol": "1240", "name": "Morn Sun Feed Mill Corp.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 56.319, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": 1.565, "architecture_energy": 7.583, "architecture_maturity": 16.072, "architecture_confidence": 50.983, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 63.72, "rotation_up": 30.59, "upward_expansion": 24.62, "deceleration": 47.53, "rotation_down": 27.02, "downward_expansion": 53.62 }, "activity_lines": [ 55.493334, 55.239403, 55.210695, 55.443326 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 56.700001, "trend_reference": 55.821791, "distance_from_trend": 0.015732, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 46.855726, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.210098, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -27.863184, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.003548, "excess_performance": -0.44492, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.015732, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.00179, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.210098, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.017791, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.278632, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.042339, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.003548, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.481401, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 78474, "relative_activity": 0.93425, "balance": 0.481401, "dry_up": 0.756872, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.021062, "annualized_volatility": 0.083724, "from_high_reference": -0.107655, "from_low_reference": 0.087967 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 55.821791, "fair_value_reference": 46.855726, "structural_low": 53.299999, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.006757, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.021183, "regime_survival": 0.533333, "best_return": 0.138402, "worst_return": -0.093439, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.026134, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.041885, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 0.172549, "worst_return": -0.032511, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.011877, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.030322, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.225243, "worst_return": -0.078388, "sufficient": 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46.447201, "relative_strength": -29.371915, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.67162, "energy": 30.757183, "activity_lines": [ 54.790454, 54.868708, 55.177455, 55.502833 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 55.200001, "volume": 70183, "typical_volume": 85080.3, "trend": 55.882778, "fair_value": 46.581898, "relative_strength": -27.082049, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.315889, "energy": 26.628456, "activity_lines": [ 54.915056, 54.934196, 55.145628, 55.455938 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 54.799999, "volume": 46090, "typical_volume": 82980.8, "trend": 55.812715, "fair_value": 46.713555, "relative_strength": -28.52815, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.966223, "energy": 25.89878, "activity_lines": [ 54.874366, 54.918242, 55.084261, 55.386082 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 56.700001, "volume": 78474, "typical_volume": 83996.75, "trend": 55.821791, "fair_value": 46.855726, "relative_strength": -27.863184, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 1.565044, "energy": 7.582705, "activity_lines": [ 55.493334, 55.239403, 55.210695, 55.443326 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }