{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f192140a-ab38-4572-8b34-598e9064ff44", "symbol": "MOSI", "name": "Motorola Solutions, Inc.", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 61.983, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 50.486, "architecture_energy": 61.72, "architecture_maturity": 20.37, "architecture_confidence": 62.929, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 32.63, "rotation_up": 74.6, "upward_expansion": 56.09, "deceleration": 15.75, "rotation_down": 14.55, "downward_expansion": 26.43 }, "activity_lines": [ 381.186668, 372.098964, 363.823882, 366.441022 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 405.5, "trend_reference": 367.092488, "distance_from_trend": 0.104626, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 354.203287, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.144823, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -9.494776, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.151158, "excess_performance": -0.023089, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.104626, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.042124, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.144823, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.188329, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.094948, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.140273, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.151158, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.15873, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 0.15873, "dry_up": 3.413043, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.040421, "annualized_volatility": 0.285027, "from_high_reference": -0.024222, "from_low_reference": 0.327797 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 367.092488, "fair_value_reference": 354.203287, "structural_low": 324.881617, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.058053, "positive_rate": 0.857143, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": 0.030484, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.168277, "worst_return": -0.016295, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.180521, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.186918, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.247559, "worst_return": 0.113483, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.236771, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.207722, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.295231, "worst_return": 0.178312, "sufficient": false }, { 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"modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 11.586415, "energy": 19.835736, "activity_lines": [ 364.58667, 358.635221, 359.106602, 362.909764 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 361.799988, "volume": 127, "typical_volume": 11.05, "trend": 362.67827, "fair_value": 352.38475, "relative_strength": -17.854702, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 19.796815, "energy": 23.243957, "activity_lines": [ 365.066665, 360.082095, 358.6703, 362.95082 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 375.700012, "volume": 30, "typical_volume": 12.05, "trend": 364.423609, "fair_value": 353.214945, "relative_strength": -14.111571, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 24.966639, "energy": 24.794785, "activity_lines": [ 368.960002, 363.653171, 359.734549, 363.790932 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 405.5, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 11.5, "trend": 367.092488, "fair_value": 354.203287, "relative_strength": -9.494776, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 50.486435, "energy": 61.719943, "activity_lines": [ 381.186668, 372.098964, 363.823882, 366.441022 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }