{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f1b842da-ff73-422d-beb3-4e73085ddce3", "symbol": "TENEO", "name": "Teneo AI AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.46, "architecture_energy": 62.046, "architecture_maturity": 66.153, "architecture_confidence": 92.694, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.36, "rotation_up": 25.33, "upward_expansion": 11.92, "deceleration": 59.66, "rotation_down": 56.5, "downward_expansion": 85.26 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.06936, 0.090733, 0.215266, 0.28866 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.0778, "trend_reference": 0.354843, "distance_from_trend": -0.780748, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.478426, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.837383, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -84.658869, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.731724, "excess_performance": -0.793219, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.780748, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.274077, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.837383, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.823458, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.846589, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.669756, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.731724, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.038454, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 113060685, "relative_activity": 4.518513, "balance": 1.038454, "dry_up": 3.361296, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 1.2895, "annualized_volatility": 2.336164, "from_high_reference": -0.902628, "from_low_reference": 1.454259 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.354843, "fair_value_reference": 0.478426, "structural_low": 0.0317, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 45, "median_return": -0.058712, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.049706, "regime_survival": 0.866667, "best_return": 2.531896, "worst_return": -0.8875, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.076493, "positive_rate": 0.266667, "directional_follow_through": 0.733333, "median_excess_return": -0.098636, "regime_survival": 0.733333, "best_return": 0.971053, "worst_return": -0.710537, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.151686, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.228984, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.422018, "worst_return": -0.890656, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"close": 0.061, "volume": 103965400, "typical_volume": 19687248.95, "trend": 0.372083, "fair_value": 0.481019, "relative_strength": -88.068297, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.49455, "energy": 81.750379, "activity_lines": [ 0.062353, 0.108324, 0.240168, 0.307646 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.0778, "volume": 113060685, "typical_volume": 25021659.55, "trend": 0.354843, "fair_value": 0.478426, "relative_strength": -84.658869, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.46034, "energy": 62.04607, "activity_lines": [ 0.06936, 0.090733, 0.215266, 0.28866 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }