{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f1bc1a9d-4593-4709-8486-9df6ddf36879", "symbol": "BEYOND", "name": "Bound and Beyond Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3c", "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch", "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch", "confidence": 71.395, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -36.566, "architecture_energy": 56.946, "architecture_maturity": 6.259, "architecture_confidence": 66.871, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.66, "rotation_up": 19.13, "upward_expansion": 21.78, "deceleration": 41.08, "rotation_down": 68.1, "downward_expansion": 58.78 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.233333, 8.453636, 8.608571, 8.621183 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 8.15, "trend_reference": 8.608333, "distance_from_trend": -0.053243, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 9.007372, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.095186, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -11.646891, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.018072, "excess_performance": -0.210397, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.053243, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.042381, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.095186, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.00697, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.116469, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.109243, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.018072, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.132939, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 25000, "relative_activity": 0.12758, "balance": 3.132939, "dry_up": 0.539665, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.052383, "annualized_volatility": 0.143587, "from_high_reference": -0.118919, "from_low_reference": 0.663265 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.608333, "fair_value_reference": 9.007372, "structural_low": 8.0, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.065251, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.021558, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.10119, "worst_return": -0.150862, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.022616, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.039165, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.166667, "worst_return": -0.211207, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.016606, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.039305, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.511905, "worst_return": -0.267241, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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"blue", "start": "2025-08-08", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.007194, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-17", "end": "2025-10-31", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-11-07", "end": "2025-12-19", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.22963, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-12-26", "end": "2026-02-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.062147, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-02-13", "end": "2026-03-06", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.05988, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-03-13", "end": "2026-04-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.00578, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-04-17", "end": "2026-05-29", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.046512, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-06-05", "end": "2026-07-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.011173, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-07-17", "end": "2026-07-31", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.02381, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-08-07", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 13.0, "volume": 670600, "typical_volume": 1776275.0, "trend": 14.39, "fair_value": 11.067949, "relative_strength": 1.969609, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.199433, "energy": 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-10.853966, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 9.723391, "energy": 9.148466, "activity_lines": [ 8.7, 8.790909, 8.765714, 8.718495 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 8.1, "volume": 147900, "typical_volume": 212135.0, "trend": 8.651667, "fair_value": 9.073077, "relative_strength": -14.068435, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -29.568298, "energy": 29.807229, "activity_lines": [ 8.483333, 8.654545, 8.705476, 8.68129 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.2, "volume": 2900, "typical_volume": 206240.0, "trend": 8.63, "fair_value": 9.039744, "relative_strength": -11.842596, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -25.953906, "energy": 43.376326, "activity_lines": [ 8.346667, 8.552727, 8.658333, 8.652151 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.15, "volume": 25000, "typical_volume": 195955.0, "trend": 8.608333, "fair_value": 9.007372, "relative_strength": -11.646891, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -36.565766, "energy": 56.945678, "activity_lines": [ 8.233333, 8.453636, 8.608571, 8.621183 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }