{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f1bd9c20-f0d8-4f2d-9269-6674e166e79e", "symbol": "EPAM", "name": "EPAM Systems Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -36.747, "architecture_energy": 22.713, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 74.945, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 39.85, "rotation_up": 27.88, "upward_expansion": 20.88, "deceleration": 46.99, "rotation_down": 23.65, "downward_expansion": 57.21 }, "activity_lines": [ 96.01, 91.816182, 95.496619, 105.600667 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 97.43, "trend_reference": 125.095333, "distance_from_trend": -0.221154, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 197.486474, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.50665, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -41.463247, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.478091, "excess_performance": -0.603716, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.221154, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.220907, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.50665, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.019457, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.414632, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.056524, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.478091, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.7154, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 13212231, "relative_activity": 1.514121, "balance": 0.7154, "dry_up": 1.035915, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.131246, "annualized_volatility": 0.627093, "from_high_reference": -0.562171, "from_low_reference": 0.333653 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 125.095333, "fair_value_reference": 197.486474, 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88.743818, 100.399095, 115.649634 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 88.66, "volume": 7699729, "typical_volume": 8335735.4, "trend": 136.127333, "fair_value": 200.202949, "relative_strength": -46.3963, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.355902, "energy": 62.3242, "activity_lines": [ 85.444667, 88.131091, 98.176048, 112.328065 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 89.85, "volume": 5521566, "typical_volume": 8289329.0, "trend": 132.075333, "fair_value": 199.298782, "relative_strength": -44.641724, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.828897, "energy": 54.57963, "activity_lines": [ 87.518667, 87.926909, 96.315571, 109.34243 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 105.56, "volume": 9724088, "typical_volume": 8418556.35, "trend": 128.912, "fair_value": 198.392308, "relative_strength": -35.075185, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.021773, "energy": 35.165522, "activity_lines": [ 93.948667, 90.636727, 96.218048, 107.631763 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 97.43, "volume": 13212231, "typical_volume": 8726006.3, "trend": 125.095333, "fair_value": 197.486474, "relative_strength": -41.463247, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -36.746818, "energy": 22.712806, "activity_lines": [ 96.01, 91.816182, 95.496619, 105.600667 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }