{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f1d61251-6162-42e3-ac53-73a0301370be", "symbol": "YGR", "name": "Yangarra Resources Ltd.", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 45.489, "architecture_energy": 36.515, "architecture_maturity": 28.664, "architecture_confidence": 58.866, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.", "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set." }, "scores": { "balance": 30.34, "rotation_up": 67.7, "upward_expansion": 70.12, "deceleration": 61.49, "rotation_down": 9.31, "downward_expansion": 11.12 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.352, 1.300545, 1.318667, 1.30772 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 1.37, "trend_reference": 1.266667, "distance_from_trend": 0.081579, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1.165, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.175966, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 4.895886, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.292453, "excess_performance": 0.172032, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.081579, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.06264, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.175966, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.026273, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.048959, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.08396, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.292453, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.294763, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 537300, "relative_activity": 0.682567, "balance": 1.294763, "dry_up": 0.776606, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.073554, "annualized_volatility": 0.393943, "from_high_reference": -0.11039, "from_low_reference": 0.522222 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.266667, "fair_value_reference": 1.165, "structural_low": 1.05, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": -0.085623, "positive_rate": 0.1875, "directional_follow_through": 0.1875, "median_excess_return": -0.069818, "regime_survival": 0.5625, "best_return": 0.041667, "worst_return": -0.211429, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.130435, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": -0.13331, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.578378, "worst_return": -0.25, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.101124, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.179566, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.345946, "worst_return": -0.37766, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.275, 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"start": "2024-05-10", "end": "2024-06-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.108333, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-06-21", "end": "2025-01-03", "tenure": "Extended", "return": 0.038462, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-01-10", "end": "2025-04-04", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.19469, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-11", "end": "2025-06-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.174419, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-07-04", "end": "2025-08-22", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.029126, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-08-29", "end": "2025-11-28", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.05, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-12-05", "end": "2026-06-12", "tenure": "Extended", "return": 0.191304, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-06-19", "end": "2026-07-03", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.057851, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-07-10", "end": "2026-07-24", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.090164, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-07-31", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.014388, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 1.8, "volume": 220000, "typical_volume": 411040.0, "trend": 1.891, "fair_value": 1.824551, "relative_strength": -19.311616, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -3.159714, "energy": 18.825741, 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"date": "2026-07-10", "close": 1.22, "volume": 583100, "typical_volume": 898315.0, "trend": 1.227333, "fair_value": 1.177756, "relative_strength": -3.675421, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -22.762081, "energy": 48.704787, "activity_lines": [ 1.193333, 1.258, 1.305714, 1.278452 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.33, "volume": 529100, "typical_volume": 885705.0, "trend": 1.237, "fair_value": 1.174615, "relative_strength": 5.153169, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -12.259991, "energy": 35.622357, "activity_lines": [ 1.230667, 1.261818, 1.308095, 1.285075 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.33, "volume": 378100, "typical_volume": 825305.0, "trend": 1.245667, "fair_value": 1.171603, "relative_strength": 4.852903, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 23.708934, "energy": 15.171, "activity_lines": [ 1.270667, 1.266545, 1.309381, 1.291075 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.39, "volume": 1000800, "typical_volume": 848570.0, "trend": 1.256333, "fair_value": 1.168269, "relative_strength": 9.970764, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.353125, "energy": 30.428619, "activity_lines": [ 1.322667, 1.284727, 1.315476, 1.300387 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.37, "volume": 537300, "typical_volume": 787175.0, "trend": 1.266667, "fair_value": 1.165, "relative_strength": 4.895886, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.488779, "energy": 36.514956, "activity_lines": [ 1.352, 1.300545, 1.318667, 1.30772 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }