{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f1e1f361-2a6c-415c-bfb3-27386c6ddbbf", "symbol": "PREM", "name": "Premier African Minerals Limited", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.688, "architecture_energy": 47.11, "architecture_maturity": 22.0, "architecture_confidence": 91.366, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 30.46, "rotation_up": 14.11, "upward_expansion": 7.53, "deceleration": 42.9, "rotation_down": 60.6, "downward_expansion": 80.86 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.000157, 0.000168, 0.000183, 0.000189 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.00014, "trend_reference": 0.00021, "distance_from_trend": -0.33439, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.009928, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.985898, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -83.502555, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.533333, "excess_performance": -0.584569, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.33439, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.375248, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.985898, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.000802, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.835026, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.00287, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.533333, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.339208, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2329672023, "relative_activity": 1.356642, "balance": 0.339208, "dry_up": 0.817884, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.362637, "annualized_volatility": 1.214364, "from_high_reference": -0.968889, "from_low_reference": 0.076923 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.00021, "fair_value_reference": 0.009928, "structural_low": 0.00013, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 33, "median_return": -0.010989, "positive_rate": 0.393939, "directional_follow_through": 0.515152, "median_excess_return": -0.056136, "regime_survival": 0.818182, "best_return": 1.416667, "worst_return": -0.603448, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.312461, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.302917, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 1.153846, "worst_return": -0.756522, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.571221, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.605138, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.942857, "worst_return": -0.852174, "sufficient": true }, { 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"activity_lines": [ 0.000174, 0.000189, 0.000192, 0.000202 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.00018, "volume": 748954446, "typical_volume": 1674719848.95, "trend": 0.000225, "fair_value": 0.010628, "relative_strength": -80.977225, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.201262, "energy": 39.574318, "activity_lines": [ 0.000175, 0.000186, 0.000191, 0.000199 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.00015, "volume": 1043161231, "typical_volume": 1658376178.5, "trend": 0.000219, "fair_value": 0.010286, "relative_strength": -83.262903, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.135638, "energy": 38.988757, "activity_lines": [ 0.000167, 0.000177, 0.000187, 0.000194 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.00014, "volume": 2329672023, "typical_volume": 1717234358.25, "trend": 0.00021, "fair_value": 0.009928, "relative_strength": -83.502555, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.687502, "energy": 47.109539, "activity_lines": [ 0.000157, 0.000168, 0.000183, 0.000189 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }