{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f1e742a2-ff14-4932-b271-89c079689101", "symbol": "3029", "name": "Global X Hang Seng ESG ETF", "exchange": "HKG", "country": "HK", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^HSI", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 62.275, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 24.46, "architecture_energy": 38.179, "architecture_maturity": 96.633, "architecture_confidence": 79.884, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 35.87, "rotation_up": 68.53, "upward_expansion": 31.77, "deceleration": 38.41, "rotation_down": 14.68, "downward_expansion": 30.1 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.025133, 4.893255, 4.895771, 4.932043 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 5.115, "trend_reference": 5.012667, "distance_from_trend": 0.020415, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4.189295, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.220969, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 0.789251, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.027567, "excess_performance": 0.006015, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.020415, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.021562, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.220969, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.029333, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.007893, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.023273, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.027567, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.012708, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 0.012708, "dry_up": 0.002494, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.026709, "annualized_volatility": 0.168351, "from_high_reference": -0.074208, "from_low_reference": 0.14532 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.012667, "fair_value_reference": 4.189295, "structural_low": 4.466, "invalidation": "A 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -84.78107, "energy": 82.420767, "activity_lines": [ 4.822933, 4.907491, 4.957405, 5.021183 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 4.466, "volume": 4450, "typical_volume": 13150.0, "trend": 5.066133, "fair_value": 4.152423, "relative_strength": -0.350318, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -94.649166, "energy": 95.756429, "activity_lines": [ 4.687733, 4.817782, 4.904795, 4.981058 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 4.64, "volume": 500, "typical_volume": 12522.5, "trend": 5.049133, "fair_value": 4.157987, "relative_strength": 0.522537, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.68044, "energy": 88.026998, "activity_lines": [ 4.6448, 4.770782, 4.872538, 4.953566 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 4.784, "volume": 50, "typical_volume": 12415.0, "trend": 5.0366, "fair_value": 4.163205, "relative_strength": 0.104535, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.939374, "energy": 83.411201, "activity_lines": [ 4.671333, 4.756691, 4.857043, 4.93646 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 4.858, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 12415.0, "trend": 5.0277, "fair_value": 4.169333, "relative_strength": 0.036689, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.879028, "energy": 54.015853, "activity_lines": [ 4.7308, 4.759364, 4.85079, 4.924938 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.934, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 12395.0, "trend": 5.020167, "fair_value": 4.174577, "relative_strength": -0.027688, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -37.388679, "energy": 23.625949, "activity_lines": [ 4.813333, 4.780982, 4.853786, 4.918892 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.125, "volume": 100, "typical_volume": 12400.0, "trend": 5.016, "fair_value": 4.181596, "relative_strength": 0.153683, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": 2.719843, "energy": 23.118537, "activity_lines": [ 4.942867, 4.839345, 4.875571, 4.925656 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.115, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 10022.5, "trend": 5.012667, "fair_value": 4.189295, "relative_strength": 0.789251, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 24.459685, "energy": 38.179227, "activity_lines": [ 5.025133, 4.893255, 4.895771, 4.932043 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }