{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f1f5e33b-be08-4b8d-a74a-ba9645a2c6bc", "symbol": "600973", "name": "Baosheng Science and Technology Innovation Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 68.78, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -60.997, "architecture_energy": 63.215, "architecture_maturity": 18.754, "architecture_confidence": 79.904, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.9, "rotation_up": 11.58, "upward_expansion": 13.12, "deceleration": 39.18, "rotation_down": 67.82, "downward_expansion": 86.45 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.910667, 6.121818, 6.52019, 6.698882 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 6.21, "trend_reference": 6.973, "distance_from_trend": -0.109422, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 5.136154, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.209076, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -2.635185, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.126582, "excess_performance": -0.083378, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.109422, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.013861, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.209076, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.313471, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.026352, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.183895, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.126582, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.785572, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 118802305, "relative_activity": 0.871758, "balance": 0.785572, "dry_up": 0.756512, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.115818, "annualized_volatility": 0.490625, "from_high_reference": -0.337953, "from_low_reference": 0.242 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.973, "fair_value_reference": 5.136154, "structural_low": 5.27, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": 0.016913, "positive_rate": 0.578947, "directional_follow_through": 0.421053, "median_excess_return": 0.019617, "regime_survival": 0.631579, "best_return": 0.360262, "worst_return": -0.114441, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.076733, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.05186, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.526316, "worst_return": -0.218605, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.233239, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.204623, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.482143, "worst_return": -0.238095, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-04-25", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.018561, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-05-02", "end": "2025-05-16", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.069351, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2025-07-25", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.134043, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-01", "end": "2025-09-19", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.003861, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-09-26", "end": "2025-11-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.15534, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-11-14", "end": "2026-02-06", "tenure": "Established", "return": 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5.62, "volume": 100703028, "typical_volume": 145017718.25, "trend": 7.037, "fair_value": 5.120128, "relative_strength": -8.780588, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.544873, "energy": 75.708713, "activity_lines": [ 5.914667, 6.277091, 6.65719, 6.822516 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.92, "volume": 86711915, "typical_volume": 138517813.6, "trend": 7.009333, "fair_value": 5.127179, "relative_strength": -4.434251, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.552645, "energy": 71.973425, "activity_lines": [ 5.829333, 6.161636, 6.571524, 6.750452 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.21, "volume": 118802305, "typical_volume": 136279044.35, "trend": 6.973, "fair_value": 5.136154, "relative_strength": -2.635185, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.997204, "energy": 63.215129, "activity_lines": [ 5.910667, 6.121818, 6.52019, 6.698882 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }