{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f1f89045-99f9-42c3-af20-5780d694166d", "symbol": "MSCI", "name": "MSCI Inc.", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 59.594, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 14.289, "architecture_energy": 12.979, "architecture_maturity": 57.77, "architecture_confidence": 70.773, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 50.52, "rotation_up": 25.01, "upward_expansion": 57.57, "deceleration": 84.59, "rotation_down": 38.71, "downward_expansion": 23.57 }, "activity_lines": [ 502.366661, 509.478179, 509.057391, 501.682664 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 489.799988, "trend_reference": 494.11531, "distance_from_trend": -0.008733, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 490.02289, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.000455, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -18.180489, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.047352, "excess_performance": -0.126895, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.008733, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.022824, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.000455, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.022301, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.181805, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.051077, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.047352, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.412698, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 0.412698, "dry_up": 2.086093, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.055201, "annualized_volatility": 0.296784, "from_high_reference": -0.120962, "from_low_reference": 0.134892 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 494.11531, "fair_value_reference": 490.02289, "structural_low": 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.860152, "energy": 48.850189, "activity_lines": [ 529.293337, 524.110911, 511.14998, 501.920401 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 489.899994, "volume": 63, "typical_volume": 7.55, "trend": 493.60778, "fair_value": 489.835446, "relative_strength": -16.619072, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.815536, "energy": 30.7424, "activity_lines": [ 518.773334, 518.752728, 510.265041, 501.692796 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 497.899994, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 7.55, "trend": 494.249251, "fair_value": 489.95106, "relative_strength": -14.753888, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 31.189006, "energy": 18.848177, "activity_lines": [ 512.033331, 514.770909, 510.107757, 501.969713 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 489.799988, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 7.55, "trend": 494.11531, "fair_value": 490.02289, "relative_strength": -18.180489, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 14.289113, "energy": 12.979012, "activity_lines": [ 502.366661, 509.478179, 509.057391, 501.682664 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }