{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f1f985b2-4b8f-4ba6-9017-cdc714b87fae", "symbol": "EDELWEISS", "name": "Edelweiss Financial Services Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 64.569, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 28.619, "architecture_energy": 15.004, "architecture_maturity": 37.933, "architecture_confidence": 87.053, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 50.84, "rotation_up": 25.07, "upward_expansion": 53.01, "deceleration": 88.13, "rotation_down": 28.89, "downward_expansion": 19.01 }, "activity_lines": [ 117.565333, 118.794363, 117.713333, 116.281397 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 118.540001, "trend_reference": 114.342, "distance_from_trend": 0.036714, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 95.009926, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.247659, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 6.16746, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.125522, "excess_performance": 0.169231, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.036714, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.028061, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.247659, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.16021, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.061675, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.123164, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.125522, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.632736, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 22811943, "relative_activity": 1.454092, "balance": 0.632736, "dry_up": 0.917916, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.068889, "annualized_volatility": 0.401308, "from_high_reference": -0.093037, "from_low_reference": 0.308631 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 114.342, "fair_value_reference": 95.009926, "structural_low": 99.019997, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": -0.042879, "positive_rate": 0.44, "directional_follow_through": 0.44, "median_excess_return": -0.024101, "regime_survival": 0.64, "best_return": 0.263241, "worst_return": -0.153799, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.023977, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.014421, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.429108, "worst_return": -0.259681, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.066141, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.02876, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.497815, "worst_return": -0.138739, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"date": "2026-07-17", "close": 118.849998, "volume": 11108523, "typical_volume": 16854435.1, "trend": 113.603666, "fair_value": 93.630157, "relative_strength": 8.566945, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.935608, "energy": 44.042889, "activity_lines": [ 121.160666, 119.094726, 117.206142, 115.663505 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 117.019997, "volume": 11490544, "typical_volume": 16273631.8, "trend": 113.898666, "fair_value": 94.087904, "relative_strength": 9.143043, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.190437, "energy": 24.924676, "activity_lines": [ 119.468665, 119.072908, 117.41319, 115.883913 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 115.470001, "volume": 12190448, "typical_volume": 15738082.1, "trend": 113.950333, "fair_value": 94.552823, "relative_strength": 4.634614, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 29.668733, "energy": 13.990547, "activity_lines": [ 117.772666, 118.703272, 117.43638, 115.98529 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 118.540001, "volume": 22811943, "typical_volume": 15688104.55, "trend": 114.342, "fair_value": 95.009926, "relative_strength": 6.16746, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.618873, "energy": 15.003775, "activity_lines": [ 117.565333, 118.794363, 117.713333, 116.281397 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }