{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f1fa5580-8375-4731-a74e-c01a80ab3e1a", "symbol": "9611", "name": "Arabian United Float Glass Company", "exchange": "SAU", "country": "SA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^TASI.SR", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -77.579, "architecture_energy": 73.958, "architecture_maturity": 10.935, "architecture_confidence": 80.652, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 30.25, "rotation_up": 11.67, "upward_expansion": 17.65, "deceleration": 34.3, "rotation_down": 77.39, "downward_expansion": 90.98 }, "activity_lines": [ 29.646667, 30.610182, 31.145769, 31.504877 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 28.200001, "trend_reference": 31.745483, "distance_from_trend": -0.111685, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 34.964842, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.193476, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -13.614285, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.133007, "excess_performance": -0.101177, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.111685, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.0111, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.193476, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.092011, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.136143, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.030308, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.133007, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.465039, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 14538, "relative_activity": 0.913664, "balance": 0.465039, "dry_up": 0.714299, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.063509, "annualized_volatility": 0.29137, "from_high_reference": -0.353454, "from_low_reference": 0.002132 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 31.745483, "fair_value_reference": 34.964842, 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-7.529165, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -26.870368, "energy": 12.893837, "activity_lines": [ 31.653334, 31.711837, 31.847998, 31.943535 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 31.0, "volume": 4098, "typical_volume": 15816.75, "trend": 31.845493, "fair_value": 35.090922, "relative_strength": -6.029926, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -23.497054, "energy": 22.400359, "activity_lines": [ 31.406667, 31.596728, 31.739993, 31.888948 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 29.5, "volume": 9152, "typical_volume": 15589.65, "trend": 31.807611, "fair_value": 35.033871, "relative_strength": -8.174904, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.411512, "energy": 58.745453, "activity_lines": [ 30.626667, 31.204364, 31.490945, 31.737626 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 28.200001, "volume": 14538, "typical_volume": 15911.75, "trend": 31.745483, "fair_value": 34.964842, "relative_strength": -13.614285, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.579414, "energy": 73.957712, "activity_lines": [ 29.646667, 30.610182, 31.145769, 31.504877 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }