{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "f22dd2e5-d07d-4d85-a57b-3981d51bc50b",
    "symbol": "UFPT",
    "name": "UFP Technologies Inc",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 84.82,
    "architecture_energy": 62.439,
    "architecture_maturity": 36.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 85.679,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.",
        "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 21.28,
        "rotation_up": 64.73,
        "upward_expansion": 81.26,
        "deceleration": 53.9,
        "rotation_down": 15.15,
        "downward_expansion": 10.26
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        268.118667,
        259.256727,
        243.570381,
        234.73372
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 314.01,
    "trend_reference": 230.646667,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.361433,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 231.019071,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.359238,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 22.999609,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.174572,
    "excess_performance": -0.012882,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.361433,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.033877,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.359238,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.336897,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.229996,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.368472,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.174572,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.413498,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1516729,
      "relative_activity": 1.468655,
      "balance": 2.413498,
      "dry_up": 1.069527,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.088899,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.548225,
      "from_high_reference": -0.072924,
      "from_low_reference": 0.806108
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 230.646667,
      "fair_value_reference": 231.019071,
      "structural_low": 173.86,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.020203,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.059513,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.124172,
        "worst_return": -0.098245,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.173598,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.146022,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.385051,
        "worst_return": -0.037856,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.258843,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.105437,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.486693,
        "worst_return": 0.030994,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.431767,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.155562,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.431767,
        "worst_return": 0.431767,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-10-11",
        "end": "2024-12-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.08409,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-12-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.044931,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-01-03",
        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.039617,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-30",
        "end": "2025-09-05",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.114902,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-09-12",
        "end": "2025-10-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.02057,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-10-10",
        "end": "2025-11-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.210433,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-11-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.030503,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-12-05",
        "end": "2026-01-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.199779,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-01-23",
        "end": "2026-03-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.192361,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-03-13",
        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.062883,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.056004,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-05-01",
        "end": "2026-05-15",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.102437,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-05-22",
        "end": "2026-06-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.026073,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.312312,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 991107.4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "relative_strength": 2.537696,
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        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 41.901694,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "fair_value": 228.73625,
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        "stage": 2,
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        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 1042705.55,
        "trend": 227.296333,
        "fair_value": 229.057147,
        "relative_strength": -8.052061,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 34.959516,
        "energy": 53.48349,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 242.05,
        "volume": 1158477,
        "typical_volume": 1018862.4,
        "trend": 227.718,
        "fair_value": 229.367853,
        "relative_strength": -1.66269,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 31.557406,
        "energy": 38.93308,
        "activity_lines": [
          248.923333,
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          226.876215
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 237.2,
        "volume": 765797,
        "typical_volume": 1005086.35,
        "trend": 227.717333,
        "fair_value": 229.662276,
        "relative_strength": -1.631311,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 25.921365,
        "energy": 23.647298,
        "activity_lines": [
          244.63,
          243.418,
          231.681667,
          227.487957
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 254.78,
        "volume": 977141,
        "typical_volume": 1001907.0,
        "trend": 228.763333,
        "fair_value": 230.12625,
        "relative_strength": 5.313066,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.990516,
        "energy": 29.230068,
        "activity_lines": [
          246.335333,
          246.187455,
          234.926762,
          229.233935
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 314.01,
        "volume": 1516729,
        "typical_volume": 1032733.15,
        "trend": 230.646667,
        "fair_value": 231.019071,
        "relative_strength": 22.999609,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.820397,
        "energy": 62.439465,
        "activity_lines": [
          268.118667,
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          243.570381,
          234.73372
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}