{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f23dd735-f6e2-4643-88df-e910ea922ac0", "symbol": "LOWC34", "name": "Lowe's Companies, Inc.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.517, "architecture_energy": 64.986, "architecture_maturity": 90.199, "architecture_confidence": 93.902, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.42, "rotation_up": 29.81, "upward_expansion": 12.0, "deceleration": 60.95, "rotation_down": 51.6, "downward_expansion": 83.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 55.046096, 55.262936, 55.93753, 57.965096 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 55.900002, "trend_reference": 61.428088, "distance_from_trend": -0.089993, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 62.258292, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.102128, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -15.657816, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.205034, "excess_performance": -0.147985, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.089993, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.047904, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.102128, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.003184, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.156578, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.118482, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.205034, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.13125, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 11, "relative_activity": 0.101899, "balance": 0.13125, "dry_up": 0.356647, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.017996, "annualized_volatility": 0.238126, "from_high_reference": -0.242506, "from_low_reference": 0.060079 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 61.428088, "fair_value_reference": 62.258292, "structural_low": 52.731934, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.009393, "positive_rate": 0.615385, "directional_follow_through": 0.384615, "median_excess_return": 0.051491, "regime_survival": 0.769231, "best_return": 0.125075, "worst_return": -0.111044, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.044345, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.070582, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.139088, "worst_return": -0.053016, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.078698, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.090098, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.19653, "worst_return": 0.073642, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"energy": 61.819043, "activity_lines": [ 55.994769, 55.581535, 57.383083, 59.928152 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 53.49876, "volume": 117, "typical_volume": 176.15, "trend": 62.534647, "fair_value": 62.219418, "relative_strength": -21.554232, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -88.114804, "energy": 71.275327, "activity_lines": [ 55.185783, 55.234245, 56.800574, 59.317381 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 53.720001, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 113.7, "trend": 62.111281, "fair_value": 62.219873, "relative_strength": -20.82442, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.556877, "energy": 70.859389, "activity_lines": [ 54.510627, 54.96902, 56.321598, 58.748694 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 55.84, "volume": 26, "typical_volume": 115.0, "trend": 61.774481, "fair_value": 62.234721, "relative_strength": -18.963923, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.310852, "energy": 64.725832, "activity_lines": [ 54.72922, 55.122705, 56.102678, 58.344095 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 55.900002, "volume": 11, "typical_volume": 107.95, "trend": 61.428088, "fair_value": 62.258292, "relative_strength": -15.657816, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.517279, "energy": 64.98596, "activity_lines": [ 55.046096, 55.262936, 55.93753, 57.965096 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }