{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f23fdb0b-cce9-4b67-b20b-6312318ed6fc", "symbol": "PRE", "name": "Prenetics Global Ltd", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 71.627, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -5.98, "architecture_energy": 3.142, "architecture_maturity": 14.908, "architecture_confidence": 55.838, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 65.19, "rotation_up": 24.11, "upward_expansion": 21.23, "deceleration": 64.44, "rotation_down": 35.86, "downward_expansion": 28.23 }, "activity_lines": [ 18.434667, 18.546545, 18.540619, 18.577699 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 18.26, "trend_reference": 18.560333, "distance_from_trend": -0.016181, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 9.139874, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.997839, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -0.862645, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.050936, "excess_performance": -0.238389, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.016181, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.084227, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.997839, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.12701, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.008626, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.010566, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.050936, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.780243, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 512497, "relative_activity": 0.511258, "balance": 1.780243, "dry_up": 1.23208, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.186105, "annualized_volatility": 0.678111, "from_high_reference": -0.227253, "from_low_reference": 1.544948 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 18.560333, "fair_value_reference": 9.139874, "structural_low": 14.0, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.096832, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.063813, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.222421, "worst_return": -0.384289, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.040899, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.077018, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.550885, "worst_return": -0.239057, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.042424, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.059736, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.360225, "worst_return": 0.032946, "sufficient": false }, { 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[ 18.972667, 18.947091, 18.656238, 18.567065 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 17.86, "volume": 660608, "typical_volume": 1020068.35, "trend": 18.285, "fair_value": 8.951752, "relative_strength": 0.436823, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 20.961851, "energy": 12.422936, "activity_lines": [ 18.409333, 18.841455, 18.592524, 18.546108 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 18.29, "volume": 2542141, "typical_volume": 1052932.55, "trend": 18.312, "fair_value": 8.991111, "relative_strength": 6.305117, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 3.715918, "energy": 10.272827, "activity_lines": [ 18.122667, 18.798727, 18.565905, 18.54643 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 18.74, "volume": 1448104, "typical_volume": 1061612.45, "trend": 18.374, "fair_value": 9.037855, "relative_strength": 9.571585, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 3.074086, "energy": 8.624946, "activity_lines": [ 18.208667, 18.799091, 18.575571, 18.574043 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 18.64, "volume": 437518, "typical_volume": 1011246.6, "trend": 18.469333, "fair_value": 9.089169, "relative_strength": 7.350889, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -3.794375, "energy": 4.261359, "activity_lines": [ 18.378667, 18.724364, 18.571238, 18.591204 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 18.26, "volume": 512497, "typical_volume": 1002422.7, "trend": 18.560333, "fair_value": 9.139874, "relative_strength": -0.862645, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -5.98047, "energy": 3.142086, "activity_lines": [ 18.434667, 18.546545, 18.540619, 18.577699 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }