{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "f25ced51-b12f-45db-889b-ddaadc9a6fbf",
    "symbol": "ARS",
    "name": "Asiamet Resources Limited",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 48.957,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -22.571,
    "architecture_energy": 12.619,
    "architecture_maturity": 24.708,
    "architecture_confidence": 50.877,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 53.96,
        "rotation_up": 21.47,
        "upward_expansion": 22.7,
        "deceleration": 54.84,
        "rotation_down": 40.13,
        "downward_expansion": 54.36
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.0152,
        0.015307,
        0.015139,
        0.015201
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 0.0155,
    "trend_reference": 0.01554,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.002574,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 0.010608,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.461133,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -1.120674,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.114286,
    "excess_performance": -0.165521,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.002574,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.026722,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.461133,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.087177,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.011207,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.173747,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.114286,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.956505,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 15807527,
      "relative_activity": 1.393312,
      "balance": 0.956505,
      "dry_up": 1.243785,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.085261,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.302905,
      "from_high_reference": -0.308036,
      "from_low_reference": 0.722222
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.01554,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.010608,
      "structural_low": 0.0135,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 18,
        "median_return": -0.04304,
        "positive_rate": 0.277778,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.277778,
        "median_excess_return": -0.059157,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.315789,
        "worst_return": -0.141414,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.014737,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.042752,
        "regime_survival": 0.375,
        "best_return": 0.710526,
        "worst_return": -0.22,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.170357,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.197626,
        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
        "best_return": 0.526316,
        "worst_return": -0.510638,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.3,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.296453,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 1.125,
        "worst_return": -0.589286,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-06-28",
        "end": "2024-09-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.104046,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-09-20",
        "end": "2024-12-27",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.068966,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-01-03",
        "end": "2025-03-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.21875,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-03-28",
        "end": "2025-05-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.026316,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-05-16",
        "end": "2025-07-25",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.138889,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-09-19",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.05,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-09-26",
        "end": "2025-10-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.315789,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-10-31",
        "end": "2026-02-27",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.395833,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-04-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.095238,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-04-10",
        "end": "2026-04-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.017241,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-05-08",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.103448,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2026-06-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.05,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-06-12",
        "end": "2026-06-19",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.037288,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.015873,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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      },
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 10988451.0,
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        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 13578396,
        "typical_volume": 11286265.35,
        "trend": 0.01572,
        "fair_value": 0.010573,
        "relative_strength": 1.270048,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -6.835371,
        "energy": 13.746709,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.01562,
          0.015315,
          0.015112,
          0.015314
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.015,
        "volume": 17133205,
        "typical_volume": 11212846.2,
        "trend": 0.015678,
        "fair_value": 0.010592,
        "relative_strength": -2.012554,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -13.16453,
        "energy": 10.563969,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.015417,
          0.015295,
          0.015109,
          0.015268
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.01475,
        "volume": 9925297,
        "typical_volume": 11107962.1,
        "trend": 0.015603,
        "fair_value": 0.010607,
        "relative_strength": -5.140649,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -31.764138,
        "energy": 13.398868,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.01515,
          0.015231,
          0.015085,
          0.015208
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.0155,
        "volume": 15807527,
        "typical_volume": 11345290.0,
        "trend": 0.01554,
        "fair_value": 0.010608,
        "relative_strength": -1.120674,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -22.570698,
        "energy": 12.619411,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.0152,
          0.015307,
          0.015139,
          0.015201
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}