{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f25ef322-12cf-4579-86cd-28d3da7beb18", "symbol": "CHJ", "name": "Uni-Asia Group Limited", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 54.519, "architecture_energy": 27.634, "architecture_maturity": 53.483, "architecture_confidence": 56.691, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 32.12, "rotation_up": 44.83, "upward_expansion": 73.82, "deceleration": 82.45, "rotation_down": 24.88, "downward_expansion": 7.16 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.920667, 0.920455, 0.916847, 0.908485 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 0.925, "trend_reference": 0.898614, "distance_from_trend": 0.029363, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.800874, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.154989, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -10.371443, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.033781, "excess_performance": -0.121055, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.029363, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.025392, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.154989, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.045402, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.103714, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.061758, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.033781, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.752431, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 329800, "relative_activity": 1.345052, "balance": 5.752431, "dry_up": 0.883379, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.027027, "annualized_volatility": 0.158764, "from_high_reference": -0.046392, "from_low_reference": 0.221064 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.898614, "fair_value_reference": 0.800874, "structural_low": 0.840396, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": 0.005, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.013794, "regime_survival": 0.681818, "best_return": 0.196581, "worst_return": -0.107143, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.003883, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.027406, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.25817, "worst_return": -0.08183, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.09525, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.027411, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.198257, "worst_return": -0.193548, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-02-28", "end": "2025-03-21", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.111111, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-03-28", "end": "2025-04-18", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.050314, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-04-25", "end": "2025-05-16", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.019314, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2025-08-08", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.012739, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-08-15", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.075472, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-17", "end": "2025-11-28", "tenure": 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"direction": 56.252289, "energy": 33.253774, "activity_lines": [ 0.922667, 0.922091, 0.91257, 0.904087 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.91, "volume": 214800, "typical_volume": 225260.0, "trend": 0.895777, "fair_value": 0.800062, "relative_strength": -10.533683, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.798884, "energy": 27.6007, "activity_lines": [ 0.918667, 0.920455, 0.913455, 0.905144 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.92, "volume": 151900, "typical_volume": 230400.0, "trend": 0.897442, "fair_value": 0.800509, "relative_strength": -9.948756, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.650279, "energy": 23.755954, "activity_lines": [ 0.919333, 0.919909, 0.915055, 0.906707 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.925, "volume": 329800, "typical_volume": 245195.0, "trend": 0.898614, "fair_value": 0.800874, "relative_strength": -10.371443, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.518678, "energy": 27.63418, "activity_lines": [ 0.920667, 0.920455, 0.916847, 0.908485 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }