{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f2658058-56e2-4fb0-b420-b1d044dbcd56", "symbol": "EAGR", "name": "East Side Games Group Inc.", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -50.733, "architecture_energy": 56.144, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 86.223, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.97, "rotation_up": 28.0, "upward_expansion": 27.0, "deceleration": 46.86, "rotation_down": 41.56, "downward_expansion": 63.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.080667, 0.078455, 0.08469, 0.110505 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 0.085, "trend_reference": 0.1525, "distance_from_trend": -0.442623, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.463462, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.816598, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -70.525699, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.690909, "excess_performance": -0.81133, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.442623, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.354725, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.816598, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.03362, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.705257, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.016984, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.690909, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.178117, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 247500, "relative_activity": 0.888084, "balance": 0.178117, "dry_up": 0.741953, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.135747, "annualized_volatility": 0.906761, "from_high_reference": -0.842593, "from_low_reference": 0.307692 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.1525, "fair_value_reference": 0.463462, "structural_low": 0.065, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 43, "median_return": -0.0625, "positive_rate": 0.255814, "directional_follow_through": 0.744186, "median_excess_return": -0.066688, "regime_survival": 0.906977, "best_return": 0.351351, "worst_return": -0.363636, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.214583, "positive_rate": 0.214286, "directional_follow_through": 0.785714, "median_excess_return": -0.25978, "regime_survival": 0.785714, "best_return": 0.365385, "worst_return": -0.653846, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.429365, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.41829, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 1.073171, "worst_return": -0.71875, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2023-12-29", "end": "2024-01-19", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.073684, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-01-26", "end": "2024-02-09", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.017857, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-02-16", "end": "2024-05-31", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.425926, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-06-07", "end": "2024-06-21", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.076923, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-06-28", "end": "2024-08-02", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.038961, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-08-09", "end": "2024-11-01", "tenure": "Established", "return": 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-62.07908, "energy": 76.167276, "activity_lines": [ 0.075667, 0.074818, 0.094333, 0.127226 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.075, "volume": 50000, "typical_volume": 263955.0, "trend": 0.168, "fair_value": 0.468782, "relative_strength": -75.101237, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.656333, "energy": 74.427889, "activity_lines": [ 0.075667, 0.074636, 0.08981, 0.120677 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.085, "volume": 275800, "typical_volume": 273310.0, "trend": 0.159667, "fair_value": 0.466122, "relative_strength": -70.662126, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.919265, "energy": 58.4321, "activity_lines": [ 0.078333, 0.076545, 0.086952, 0.115323 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.085, "volume": 247500, "typical_volume": 278690.0, "trend": 0.1525, "fair_value": 0.463462, "relative_strength": -70.525699, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.732818, "energy": 56.144282, "activity_lines": [ 0.080667, 0.078455, 0.08469, 0.110505 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }