{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "f267136f-eba2-469e-8e8d-c438e459ab39",
    "symbol": "PXC",
    "name": "Invesco RAFI Canadian Index ETF",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 67.197,
    "architecture_energy": 85.199,
    "architecture_maturity": 100.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 79.641,
    "architecture_tenure": "Extended",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 8.05,
        "rotation_up": 74.59,
        "upward_expansion": 93.8,
        "deceleration": 45.61,
        "rotation_down": 12.01,
        "downward_expansion": 20.46
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        64.554666,
        63.856447,
        62.735566,
        61.574192
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 64.489998,
    "trend_reference": 59.951868,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.075696,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 44.985699,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.433567,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 1.486789,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.153337,
    "excess_performance": 0.032916,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.075696,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.05432,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.433567,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.025142,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.014868,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.002342,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.153337,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.33156,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 4700,
      "relative_activity": 0.46101,
      "balance": 1.33156,
      "dry_up": 1.056891,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.011657,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.093635,
      "from_high_reference": -0.00693,
      "from_low_reference": 0.372421
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 59.951868,
      "fair_value_reference": 44.985699,
      "structural_low": 56.244059,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 42,
        "median_return": 0.015698,
        "positive_rate": 0.761905,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.761905,
        "median_excess_return": 0.002275,
        "regime_survival": 0.857143,
        "best_return": 0.055736,
        "worst_return": -0.067754,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 14,
        "median_return": 0.075277,
        "positive_rate": 0.785714,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.785714,
        "median_excess_return": 0.012239,
        "regime_survival": 0.785714,
        "best_return": 0.110142,
        "worst_return": -0.113871,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.092399,
        "positive_rate": 0.875,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.875,
        "median_excess_return": 0.019988,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
        "best_return": 0.20457,
        "worst_return": -0.038352,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.161344,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.033276,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.295719,
        "worst_return": 0.031255,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "end": "2023-10-20",
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        "return": -0.028858,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-10-27",
        "end": "2023-11-17",
        "tenure": "New",
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      },
      {
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-07-19",
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        "return": 0.059904,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
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      {
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      {
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        "active": true
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        "trend": 55.344165,
        "fair_value": 42.1318,
        "relative_strength": 2.088334,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "energy": 82.016143,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "fair_value": 42.306721,
        "relative_strength": 3.541225,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 12756.0,
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        "fair_value": 42.478649,
        "relative_strength": 1.720947,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "energy": 80.903065,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 60.732811,
        "volume": 12300,
        "typical_volume": 13322.95,
        "trend": 56.202702,
        "fair_value": 42.657051,
        "relative_strength": 3.90129,
        "stage": 2,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 12510.0,
        "trend": 56.541835,
        "fair_value": 42.849,
        "relative_strength": 4.390459,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 90.545466,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 61.408943,
        "volume": 44500,
        "typical_volume": 14150.0,
        "trend": 56.863043,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 13465.0,
        "trend": 57.196253,
        "fair_value": 43.22412,
        "relative_strength": 4.024795,
        "stage": 2,
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        "energy": 86.221734,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "volume": 0,
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        "trend": 57.509725,
        "fair_value": 43.416142,
        "relative_strength": 3.234453,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "trend": 57.828365,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "trend": 58.087687,
        "fair_value": 43.803591,
        "relative_strength": 2.544611,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 86.328642,
        "activity_lines": [
          62.294548,
          61.861829,
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          59.562147
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 62.23,
        "volume": 0,
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        "trend": 58.339038,
        "fair_value": 43.995342,
        "relative_strength": 1.639698,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.580129,
        "energy": 85.314987,
        "activity_lines": [
          62.322306,
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          60.896216,
          59.829393
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 63.27,
        "volume": 19000,
        "typical_volume": 10380.0,
        "trend": 58.620606,
        "fair_value": 44.189307,
        "relative_strength": 3.088868,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.937329,
        "energy": 90.949627,
        "activity_lines": [
          62.641993,
          62.316098,
          61.217352,
          60.14752
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 64.389999,
        "volume": 27400,
        "typical_volume": 10970.0,
        "trend": 58.929921,
        "fair_value": 44.386125,
        "relative_strength": 4.903981,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 92.132984,
        "energy": 92.350013,
        "activity_lines": [
          63.251379,
          62.768304,
          61.620882,
          60.519739
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 64.739998,
        "volume": 3200,
        "typical_volume": 10770.0,
        "trend": 59.242345,
        "fair_value": 44.58531,
        "relative_strength": 5.025703,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 88.718253,
        "energy": 92.051891,
        "activity_lines": [
          63.853599,
          63.201201,
          62.031167,
          60.894583
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 64.900002,
        "volume": 7800,
        "typical_volume": 10655.0,
        "trend": 59.613715,
        "fair_value": 44.787622,
        "relative_strength": 5.57208,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.031731,
        "energy": 92.681575,
        "activity_lines": [
          64.36,
          63.590331,
          62.421015,
          61.259593
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 64.489998,
        "volume": 4700,
        "typical_volume": 10195.0,
        "trend": 59.951868,
        "fair_value": 44.985699,
        "relative_strength": 1.486789,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.196982,
        "energy": 85.198701,
        "activity_lines": [
          64.554666,
          63.856447,
          62.735566,
          61.574192
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}