{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f26c017b-c0f8-4ba4-9c92-21e13988ac90", "symbol": "3188", "name": "Golden Long Teng Development Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -58.482, "architecture_energy": 44.605, "architecture_maturity": 37.058, "architecture_confidence": 90.061, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.51, "rotation_up": 23.22, "upward_expansion": 6.74, "deceleration": 47.43, "rotation_down": 54.2, "downward_expansion": 82.41 }, "activity_lines": [ 23.256666, 23.501818, 23.849762, 24.725185 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 23.299999, "trend_reference": 25.745731, "distance_from_trend": -0.094996, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 23.901475, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.025165, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -36.770245, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.132275, "excess_performance": -0.573647, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.094996, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.042939, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.025165, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.077935, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.367702, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.020684, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.132275, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.787108, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 948651, "relative_activity": 0.522054, "balance": 1.787108, "dry_up": 0.480507, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.060086, "annualized_volatility": 0.269695, "from_high_reference": -0.276693, "from_low_reference": 0.051919 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 25.745731, "fair_value_reference": 23.901475, "structural_low": 22.15, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.002119, "positive_rate": 0.466667, "directional_follow_through": 0.533333, "median_excess_return": 0.018453, "regime_survival": 0.866667, "best_return": 0.157407, "worst_return": -0.135659, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.004515, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.029775, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.104072, "worst_return": -0.107461, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.122357, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.078451, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.266968, "worst_return": -0.17378, "sufficient": false }, 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23.5, "volume": 1472578, "typical_volume": 2625852.4, "trend": 26.297893, "fair_value": 23.600897, "relative_strength": -34.732432, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.668535, "energy": 41.325313, "activity_lines": [ 23.826667, 23.915455, 24.61723, 25.450786 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 23.549999, "volume": 652250, "typical_volume": 2400778.2, "trend": 26.147285, "fair_value": 23.676874, "relative_strength": -35.302941, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.545579, "energy": 40.501648, "activity_lines": [ 23.67, 23.85, 24.400783, 25.273503 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 23.049999, "volume": 1103230, "typical_volume": 2187305.4, "trend": 25.986017, "fair_value": 23.750909, "relative_strength": -35.1385, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.480988, "energy": 46.194706, "activity_lines": [ 23.439999, 23.703636, 24.169173, 25.073678 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 23.15, "volume": 788490, "typical_volume": 2016405.2, "trend": 25.865626, "fair_value": 23.82508, "relative_strength": -35.740589, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.912636, "energy": 51.490529, "activity_lines": [ 23.28, 23.595454, 23.984286, 24.890709 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 23.299999, "volume": 948651, "typical_volume": 1817152.5, "trend": 25.745731, "fair_value": 23.901475, "relative_strength": -36.770245, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.481806, "energy": 44.604513, "activity_lines": [ 23.256666, 23.501818, 23.849762, 24.725185 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }