{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f26f0774-ea4b-42df-89d1-6fb728fd4c7b", "symbol": "ALREW", "name": "Reworld Media Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 Anonyme", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 83.201, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 55.688, "architecture_energy": 33.821, "architecture_maturity": 26.653, "architecture_confidence": 78.604, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.95, "rotation_up": 48.95, "upward_expansion": 76.98, "deceleration": 60.65, "rotation_down": 21.68, "downward_expansion": 3.65 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.849867, 1.843782, 1.793505, 1.754013 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 1.862, "trend_reference": 1.7108, "distance_from_trend": 0.08838, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2.137892, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.129048, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 2.333405, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.131227, "excess_performance": 0.077916, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.08838, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.06072, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.129048, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.16663, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.023334, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.049859, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.131227, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.720643, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 264105, "relative_activity": 0.686018, "balance": 2.720643, "dry_up": 0.534239, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.076923, "annualized_volatility": 0.345246, "from_high_reference": -0.149772, "from_low_reference": 0.361111 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.7108, "fair_value_reference": 2.137892, "structural_low": 1.448, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.461538, "directional_follow_through": 0.461538, "median_excess_return": -0.001508, "regime_survival": 0.615385, "best_return": 0.449665, "worst_return": -0.218799, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.034496, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.048017, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.565996, "worst_return": -0.24539, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.083825, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.151877, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.252797, "worst_return": -0.107801, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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2.189234, "relative_strength": 5.503014, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.201826, "energy": 59.217487, "activity_lines": [ 1.841867, 1.789273, 1.742314, 1.710662 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.9, "volume": 31224, "typical_volume": 398011.05, "trend": 1.6814, "fair_value": 2.175567, "relative_strength": 8.932713, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.492171, "energy": 60.482937, "activity_lines": [ 1.867067, 1.8172, 1.761086, 1.725643 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.8, "volume": 269242, "typical_volume": 385305.2, "trend": 1.6904, "fair_value": 2.162685, "relative_strength": 2.740547, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.528844, "energy": 41.444683, "activity_lines": [ 1.8456, 1.822255, 1.76921, 1.733295 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.85, "volume": 258119, "typical_volume": 384657.95, "trend": 1.700467, "fair_value": 2.149996, "relative_strength": 4.008367, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.9362, "energy": 34.540409, "activity_lines": [ 1.845067, 1.833491, 1.781429, 1.743591 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.862, "volume": 264105, "typical_volume": 384982.4, "trend": 1.7108, "fair_value": 2.137892, "relative_strength": 2.333405, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.688493, "energy": 33.820896, "activity_lines": [ 1.849867, 1.843782, 1.793505, 1.754013 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }