{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f2741539-bb5a-4808-9e4d-7d3ab71f6180", "symbol": "NAVKARURB", "name": "Navkar Urbanstructure Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 83.014, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Neutral compression", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 15.098, "architecture_energy": 18.774, "architecture_maturity": 14.523, "architecture_confidence": 58.2, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 58.39, "rotation_up": 43.07, "upward_expansion": 33.21, "deceleration": 43.51, "rotation_down": 22.63, "downward_expansion": 19.54 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.042667, 1.043273, 0.985762, 0.977247 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 1.0, "trend_reference": 1.03, "distance_from_trend": -0.029126, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1.956529, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.488891, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -31.198122, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.230769, "excess_performance": -0.18706, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.029126, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.166891, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.488891, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.108819, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.311981, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.190577, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.230769, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.697883, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5492711, "relative_activity": 1.147054, "balance": 0.697883, "dry_up": 1.240515, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.118462, "annualized_volatility": 0.724919, "from_high_reference": -0.658084, "from_low_reference": 0.428571 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.03, "fair_value_reference": 1.956529, "structural_low": 0.7, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, 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"gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 0.96, "volume": 3142782, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.16, "volume": 6949481, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.08, "volume": 9324351, "typical_volume": 5170143.4, "trend": 1.076667, "fair_value": 1.980067, "relative_strength": -25.71345, "stage": 4, "regime": "unresolved", "modifier": "Conflicting geometry", "gate": "down", "direction": 4.176983, "energy": 16.541127, "activity_lines": [ 1.065333, 1.045455, 0.967286, 0.983699 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.03, "volume": 1994460, "typical_volume": 4794109.8, "trend": 1.053333, "fair_value": 1.968338, "relative_strength": -29.903752, "stage": 4, "regime": "unresolved", "modifier": "Conflicting geometry", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 17.059923, "energy": 19.588627, "activity_lines": [ 1.056667, 1.049091, 0.978143, 0.980688 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.0, "volume": 5492711, "typical_volume": 4788537.35, "trend": 1.03, "fair_value": 1.956529, "relative_strength": -31.198122, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Neutral compression", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 15.097574, "energy": 18.77365, "activity_lines": [ 1.042667, 1.043273, 0.985762, 0.977247 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }