{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "f29a72e8-3413-4a3c-8a4a-c94d9383210d",
    "symbol": "3485",
    "name": "Eclat Forever Machinery Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "TWO",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-14",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 66.464,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -25.336,
    "architecture_energy": 50.62,
    "architecture_maturity": 14.447,
    "architecture_confidence": 73.658,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 34.33,
        "rotation_up": 14.71,
        "upward_expansion": 25.34,
        "deceleration": 50.05,
        "rotation_down": 68.09,
        "downward_expansion": 55.01
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        208.652865,
        232.690128,
        259.114621,
        254.791263
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 207.0,
    "trend_reference": 238.090495,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.130583,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 94.952563,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 1.180036,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -6.077182,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.1776,
    "excess_performance": -0.263772,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.130583,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.284084,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.180036,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -1.348991,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.060772,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.685663,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.1776,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.003658,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 769131,
      "relative_activity": 0.388647,
      "balance": 1.003658,
      "dry_up": 0.385256,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.265725,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.892537,
      "from_high_reference": -0.456492,
      "from_low_reference": 2.327598
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 238.090495,
      "fair_value_reference": 94.952563,
      "structural_low": 160.15625,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.02081,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.040943,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.056,
        "worst_return": -0.040278,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.028037,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.037406,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.192672,
        "worst_return": -0.04502,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.366026,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.127228,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.484943,
        "worst_return": -0.013643,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.678883,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.445032,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 4.139933,
        "worst_return": 0.246242,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-11-03",
        "end": "2023-12-22",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.058511,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2023-12-29",
        "end": "2024-02-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.064257,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-02-23",
        "end": "2024-03-01",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.003623,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-03-08",
        "end": "2024-08-30",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.503986,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-09-06",
        "end": "2024-11-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.002778,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-11-15",
        "end": "2024-11-22",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.032857,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-11-29",
        "end": "2025-01-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.008658,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-02-07",
        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.021038,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-04-25",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0224,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-05-02",
        "end": "2025-07-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.114729,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-07-11",
        "end": "2025-08-22",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.013081,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-08-29",
        "end": "2026-07-03",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 3.086845,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-07-10",
        "end": "2026-07-31",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.310769,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-08-07",
        "end": "2026-08-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.016627,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-11",
        "close": 42.47126,
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        "typical_volume": 223725.1,
        "trend": 37.534114,
        "fair_value": 26.151427,
        "relative_strength": 14.483688,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 53.296862,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
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      },
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
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        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
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        "typical_volume": 2004744.35,
        "trend": 232.832682,
        "fair_value": 92.81362,
        "relative_strength": -5.751725,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -29.426874,
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          227.805989,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 210.5,
        "volume": 744579,
        "typical_volume": 1976185.25,
        "trend": 235.438542,
        "fair_value": 93.891751,
        "relative_strength": -0.3347,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -23.026074,
        "energy": 45.259236,
        "activity_lines": [
          215.41276,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 207.0,
        "volume": 769131,
        "typical_volume": 1978994.95,
        "trend": 238.090495,
        "fair_value": 94.952563,
        "relative_strength": -6.077182,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -25.336303,
        "energy": 50.620301,
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          208.652865,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}