{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f2ac3408-f7bd-427b-9b12-6945605866de", "symbol": "002009", "name": "Miracle Automation Engineering Co.Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.482, "architecture_energy": 74.89, "architecture_maturity": 27.568, "architecture_confidence": 86.899, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.53, "rotation_up": 11.86, "upward_expansion": 17.38, "deceleration": 38.69, "rotation_down": 70.93, "downward_expansion": 90.71 }, "activity_lines": [ 16.855733, 17.934503, 20.187276, 21.783523 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 17.809999, "trend_reference": 23.576934, "distance_from_trend": -0.244601, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 15.990788, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.113766, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -17.141582, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.372445, "excess_performance": -0.379845, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.244601, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.018369, "read": "Rising" 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14.51, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": 0.000624, "positive_rate": 0.526316, "directional_follow_through": 0.473684, "median_excess_return": 0.002787, "regime_survival": 0.684211, "best_return": 0.437266, "worst_return": -0.132619, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.090756, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.095912, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.623577, "worst_return": -0.202769, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.027552, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.086353, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.635852, "worst_return": -0.132123, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"relative_strength": -18.943652, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.79374, "energy": 69.875638, "activity_lines": [ 19.948643, 21.075815, 22.623524, 23.661614 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 16.25, "volume": 69912533, "typical_volume": 119536894.45, "trend": 23.831934, "fair_value": 15.929771, "relative_strength": -21.841645, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -82.579501, "energy": 73.748685, "activity_lines": [ 18.67344, 19.933305, 21.893819, 23.172586 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 15.52, "volume": 68892227, "typical_volume": 109915545.8, "trend": 23.831268, "fair_value": 15.940884, "relative_strength": -25.394892, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.179843, "energy": 73.828671, "activity_lines": [ 17.412338, 18.852795, 21.166829, 22.636332 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 16.540001, "volume": 62305571, "typical_volume": 102929846.7, "trend": 23.737268, "fair_value": 15.960774, "relative_strength": -19.105138, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.815375, "energy": 79.556404, "activity_lines": [ 16.839215, 18.188286, 20.594172, 22.165928 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 17.809999, "volume": 102351487, "typical_volume": 102523771.1, "trend": 23.576934, "fair_value": 15.990788, "relative_strength": -17.141582, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.481907, "energy": 74.889735, "activity_lines": [ 16.855733, 17.934503, 20.187276, 21.783523 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }