{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f2b4c3b5-f6f8-47a9-a182-c9bc35e23c38", "symbol": "DFUV", "name": "DIMENSIONAL ETF TRUST US MARKETWIDE VALUE ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 85.208, "architecture_energy": 70.86, "architecture_maturity": 55.023, "architecture_confidence": 87.089, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 5.58, "rotation_up": 66.18, "upward_expansion": 87.67, "deceleration": 60.52, "rotation_down": 24.44, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 55.851333, 55.400179, 54.301913, 53.12533 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 56.89, "trend_reference": 51.712912, "distance_from_trend": 0.100112, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 41.883091, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.358305, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 4.105502, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.130617, "excess_performance": 0.004992, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.100112, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.061913, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.358305, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.055742, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.041055, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.020516, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.130617, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.843602, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2291899, "relative_activity": 1.073557, "balance": 1.843602, "dry_up": 0.95752, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.020666, "annualized_volatility": 0.096749, "from_high_reference": -0.001667, "from_low_reference": 0.359272 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 51.712912, "fair_value_reference": 41.883091, "structural_low": 47.35, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": 0.007815, "positive_rate": 0.708333, "directional_follow_through": 0.708333, "median_excess_return": 0.002385, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 0.044683, "worst_return": -0.040887, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.047151, "positive_rate": 0.875, "directional_follow_through": 0.875, "median_excess_return": -0.018315, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.0882, "worst_return": -0.019027, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.095446, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.015147, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.145052, "worst_return": 0.055151, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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50.569487, "fair_value": 41.330227, "relative_strength": 3.878074, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.4731, "energy": 73.588759, "activity_lines": [ 54.883203, 54.348182, 52.918003, 51.916024 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 54.78, "volume": 1437817, "typical_volume": 2369624.3, "trend": 50.850087, "fair_value": 41.463332, "relative_strength": 4.878055, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.771401, "energy": 64.92417, "activity_lines": [ 54.872199, 54.526577, 53.21971, 52.18767 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 55.46, "volume": 2445088, "typical_volume": 2341210.9, "trend": 51.13409, "fair_value": 41.598347, "relative_strength": 6.607612, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.948536, "energy": 66.092253, "activity_lines": [ 55.082667, 54.78171, 53.564977, 52.485084 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 55.59, "volume": 2001899, "typical_volume": 2228386.8, "trend": 51.422094, "fair_value": 41.736705, "relative_strength": 5.49589, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.506828, "energy": 64.639432, "activity_lines": [ 55.268, 54.99687, 53.889882, 52.772562 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 56.89, "volume": 2291899, "typical_volume": 2134864.8, "trend": 51.712912, "fair_value": 41.883091, "relative_strength": 4.105502, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 85.208196, "energy": 70.85976, "activity_lines": [ 55.851333, 55.400179, 54.301913, 53.12533 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }