{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f2bcc7a5-3911-4af0-98c7-4eb58ef7b1df", "symbol": "LAMR", "name": "Lamar Advertising Company", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 68.254, "architecture_energy": 59.537, "architecture_maturity": 73.386, "architecture_confidence": 90.687, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 1.9, "rotation_up": 64.79, "upward_expansion": 88.02, "deceleration": 49.42, "rotation_down": 22.47, "downward_expansion": 10.02 }, "activity_lines": [ 160.179333, 158.334279, 153.654091, 148.220337 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 160.93, "trend_reference": 141.517591, "distance_from_trend": 0.137173, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 113.705427, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.415324, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 6.472122, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.235322, "excess_performance": 0.047868, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.137173, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.080631, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.415324, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.036425, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.064721, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.00668, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.235322, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.474897, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4645623, "relative_activity": 1.50932, "balance": 1.474897, "dry_up": 1.100838, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.045074, "annualized_volatility": 0.272704, "from_high_reference": -0.032466, "from_low_reference": 0.486855 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 141.517591, "fair_value_reference": 113.705427, "structural_low": 121.027504, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 34, "median_return": 0.01202, "positive_rate": 0.558824, "directional_follow_through": 0.558824, "median_excess_return": 0.001001, "regime_survival": 0.794118, "best_return": 0.140108, "worst_return": -0.059106, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.03118, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.012312, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.142235, "worst_return": -0.04113, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.078744, "positive_rate": 0.857143, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": 0.024033, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.267121, "worst_return": -0.196019, "sufficient": true }, { 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147.175504, 142.494872 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 162.32, "volume": 2685969, "typical_volume": 2972873.2, "trend": 137.894139, "fair_value": 112.16197, "relative_strength": 12.453005, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.034807, "energy": 66.25164, "activity_lines": [ 157.79, 155.154075, 149.148463, 144.155826 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 159.46, "volume": 2048021, "typical_volume": 2939617.4, "trend": 139.08474, "fair_value": 112.640131, "relative_strength": 12.041691, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.041876, "energy": 57.234454, "activity_lines": [ 158.889333, 156.333279, 150.71744, 145.547172 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 159.96, "volume": 4173719, "typical_volume": 3015400.7, "trend": 140.371209, "fair_value": 113.171356, "relative_strength": 11.532723, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.074949, "energy": 54.09951, "activity_lines": [ 159.501333, 157.322555, 152.208138, 146.893963 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 160.93, "volume": 4645623, "typical_volume": 3077957.25, "trend": 141.517591, "fair_value": 113.705427, "relative_strength": 6.472122, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.254186, "energy": 59.537434, "activity_lines": [ 160.179333, 158.334279, 153.654091, 148.220337 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }