{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f2be92ff-7427-4863-ac4a-ab548619a7e5", "symbol": "LRES", "name": "Lansdowne Resources Plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 53.244, "architecture_energy": 26.653, "architecture_maturity": 74.864, "architecture_confidence": 95.462, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 42.14, "rotation_up": 30.24, "upward_expansion": 55.3, "deceleration": 91.08, "rotation_down": 26.33, "downward_expansion": 18.97 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.008067, 0.008222, 0.007849, 0.007192 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 0.0093, "trend_reference": 0.006403, "distance_from_trend": 0.452369, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.005314, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.75006, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 48.377673, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.86, "excess_performance": 0.808765, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.452369, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.23537, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.75006, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.803918, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.483777, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.54473, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.86, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.634029, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 178937649, "relative_activity": 5.330569, "balance": 1.634029, "dry_up": 1.544947, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.152192, "annualized_volatility": 1.153736, "from_high_reference": -0.284615, "from_low_reference": 0.86 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.006403, "fair_value_reference": 0.005314, "structural_low": 0.005, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2021-08-06", "end": "2021-10-22", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.193548, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2021-10-29", "end": "2022-03-11", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.035714, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2022-03-18", "end": "2022-05-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.234234, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2022-05-27", "end": "2022-07-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.352941, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2022-07-22", "end": "2022-08-19", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.125, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2022-08-26", "end": "2022-11-04", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.227273, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2022-11-11", "end": "2022-11-18", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2022-11-25", "end": "2023-03-24", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.190476, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2023-03-31", "end": "2023-11-24", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.729412, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2023-12-01", "end": "2024-01-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.208333, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-02-02", "end": 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0.008584, 0.007386, 0.006731 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.0078, "volume": 2665681, "typical_volume": 23329271.0, "trend": 0.006107, "fair_value": 0.005267, "relative_strength": 30.398527, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.348313, "energy": 28.571986, "activity_lines": [ 0.00808, 0.00854, 0.007508, 0.006847 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.0073, "volume": 24859996, "typical_volume": 24572270.8, "trend": 0.006183, "fair_value": 0.005278, "relative_strength": 19.957527, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.599632, "energy": 28.117712, "activity_lines": [ 0.007733, 0.008355, 0.007569, 0.006924 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.0073, "volume": 981139, "typical_volume": 24621327.75, "trend": 0.00626, "fair_value": 0.00529, "relative_strength": 18.019831, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 31.016733, "energy": 26.06163, "activity_lines": [ 0.007533, 0.008127, 0.007619, 0.006996 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.0093, "volume": 178937649, "typical_volume": 33568210.2, "trend": 0.006403, "fair_value": 0.005314, "relative_strength": 48.377673, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.24392, "energy": 26.653253, "activity_lines": [ 0.008067, 0.008222, 0.007849, 0.007192 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }