{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f2ccc56b-5999-4965-a79d-c35bf97a19d5", "symbol": "STA", "name": "Sri Trang Agro-Industry Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 43.536, "architecture_energy": 35.429, "architecture_maturity": 13.202, "architecture_confidence": 78.394, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.11, "rotation_up": 54.15, "upward_expansion": 68.94, "deceleration": 56.12, "rotation_down": 15.2, "downward_expansion": 9.94 }, "activity_lines": [ 18.486667, 18.185455, 18.225864, 17.664717 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 18.299999, "trend_reference": 16.546125, "distance_from_trend": 0.105999, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 15.071915, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.214179, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 10.298034, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.451409, "excess_performance": 0.259084, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.105999, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.152311, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.214179, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.065085, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.10298, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.154989, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.451409, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.852528, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 24115800, "relative_activity": 0.615207, "balance": 1.852528, "dry_up": 1.146393, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.062211, "annualized_volatility": 0.28166, "from_high_reference": -0.107317, "from_low_reference": 0.684672 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 16.546125, "fair_value_reference": 15.071915, "structural_low": 11.638554, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.012552, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.007822, "regime_survival": 0.642857, "best_return": 0.204082, "worst_return": -0.10548, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.061674, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.093585, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.346685, "worst_return": -0.155595, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.2891, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.113144, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.231168, "worst_return": -0.391853, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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15.898675, "fair_value": 14.968959, "relative_strength": 11.504187, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.603689, "energy": 24.311524, "activity_lines": [ 17.793334, 18.076364, 17.992275, 17.197206 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 18.700001, "volume": 82593800, "typical_volume": 47816390.0, "trend": 16.114659, "fair_value": 14.998312, "relative_strength": 10.942617, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.104161, "energy": 30.022602, "activity_lines": [ 18.166667, 18.129091, 18.104237, 17.377937 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 18.6, "volume": 22323100, "typical_volume": 42692310.0, "trend": 16.340241, "fair_value": 15.030863, "relative_strength": 11.499422, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.499699, "energy": 35.401922, "activity_lines": [ 18.44, 18.181819, 18.187829, 17.538281 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 18.299999, "volume": 24115800, "typical_volume": 39199500.0, "trend": 16.546125, "fair_value": 15.071915, "relative_strength": 10.298034, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.536024, "energy": 35.429388, "activity_lines": [ 18.486667, 18.185455, 18.225864, 17.664717 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }