{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f2d85295-b3b6-4a67-a1b7-de5faeb87bd6", "symbol": "SORKON", "name": "S. Khonkaen Foods Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 51.295, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 4.613, "architecture_energy": 5.306, "architecture_maturity": 30.257, "architecture_confidence": 47.563, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 60.15, "rotation_up": 31.53, "upward_expansion": 42.67, "deceleration": 67.59, "rotation_down": 24.53, "downward_expansion": 35.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.528, 3.54, 3.544101, 3.546409 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 3.54, "trend_reference": 3.51925, "distance_from_trend": 0.005896, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 3.718895, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.048104, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -13.096683, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.072727, "excess_performance": -0.119598, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.005896, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.021368, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.048104, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.032744, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.130967, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.014881, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.072727, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.359513, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 148600, "relative_activity": 0.422129, "balance": 0.359513, "dry_up": 0.850011, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.028249, "annualized_volatility": 0.174475, "from_high_reference": -0.07451, "from_low_reference": 0.097674 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.51925, "fair_value_reference": 3.718895, "structural_low": 3.28125, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.017364, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.025264, "regime_survival": 0.583333, "best_return": 0.036866, "worst_return": -0.063636, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.062222, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.11563, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": -0.004425, "worst_return": -0.105455, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.109801, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.112078, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.066372, "worst_return": -0.133663, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 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"up", "direction": 22.116097, "energy": 19.417378, "activity_lines": [ 3.558667, 3.530182, 3.557577, 3.537965 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 3.58, "volume": 300900, "typical_volume": 370760.0, "trend": 3.49975, "fair_value": 3.731535, "relative_strength": -15.157218, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.137998, "energy": 25.026185, "activity_lines": [ 3.569333, 3.539273, 3.558381, 3.543785 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.52, "volume": 473400, "typical_volume": 360480.0, "trend": 3.507708, "fair_value": 3.727177, "relative_strength": -16.247186, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 25.223446, "energy": 16.990333, "activity_lines": [ 3.554667, 3.54, 3.553655, 3.545091 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.5, "volume": 274000, "typical_volume": 357120.0, "trend": 3.511875, "fair_value": 3.722582, "relative_strength": -15.193128, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 5.622104, "energy": 6.664008, "activity_lines": [ 3.533333, 3.537091, 3.546869, 3.544594 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.54, "volume": 148600, "typical_volume": 352025.0, "trend": 3.51925, "fair_value": 3.718895, "relative_strength": -13.096683, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 4.612951, "energy": 5.305608, "activity_lines": [ 3.528, 3.54, 3.544101, 3.546409 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }