{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f2dec534-9869-46a3-b385-09b21a57005b", "symbol": "301172", "name": "Sichuan Joyou Digital Technologies Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Structural failure", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.959, "architecture_energy": 70.602, "architecture_maturity": 18.608, "architecture_confidence": 78.663, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.01, "rotation_up": 9.06, "upward_expansion": 15.52, "deceleration": 37.65, "rotation_down": 75.15, "downward_expansion": 91.19 }, "activity_lines": [ 16.921318, 18.341607, 20.748131, 21.198972 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 18.0, "trend_reference": 21.367635, "distance_from_trend": -0.157604, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 18.28132, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.015388, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -11.236467, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.192565, "excess_performance": -0.199965, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.157604, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.033624, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.015388, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.408887, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.112365, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.23793, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.192565, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.346718, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 39974353, "relative_activity": 0.943675, "balance": 1.346718, "dry_up": 0.919961, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.193802, "annualized_volatility": 0.608048, "from_high_reference": -0.436921, "from_low_reference": 0.30181 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 21.367635, "fair_value_reference": 18.28132, "structural_low": 13.826906, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, 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66.575836, "activity_lines": [ 17.702213, 19.803733, 21.691905, 21.760979 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 15.983536, "volume": 35895866, "typical_volume": 42377472.4, "trend": 21.328716, "fair_value": 18.283135, "relative_strength": -17.211756, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -44.910228, "energy": 66.862485, "activity_lines": [ 16.837011, 18.766994, 21.113708, 21.413728 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 18.0, "volume": 39974353, "typical_volume": 42360300.05, "trend": 21.367635, "fair_value": 18.28132, "relative_strength": -11.236467, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.959063, "energy": 70.601554, "activity_lines": [ 16.921318, 18.341607, 20.748131, 21.198972 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }