{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f2e15f8a-501b-4465-9418-51ffd6d02a61", "symbol": "KRITI", "name": "Kriti Industries (India) Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -54.23, "architecture_energy": 44.362, "architecture_maturity": 13.683, "architecture_confidence": 91.384, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.73, "rotation_up": 18.59, "upward_expansion": 7.76, "deceleration": 43.5, "rotation_down": 51.41, "downward_expansion": 78.76 }, "activity_lines": [ 68.890665, 69.645999, 71.987857, 73.680279 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 70.489998, "trend_reference": 75.880666, "distance_from_trend": -0.071041, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 127.67459, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.447893, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -22.288272, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.150723, "excess_performance": -0.107014, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.071041, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.0813, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.447893, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.107699, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.222883, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.018631, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.150723, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.289535, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 51089, "relative_activity": 0.223222, "balance": 1.289535, "dry_up": 0.183257, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.090706, "annualized_volatility": 0.49335, "from_high_reference": -0.564339, "from_low_reference": 0.33 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 75.880666, "fair_value_reference": 127.67459, "structural_low": 53.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": 0.018483, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": 0.009617, "regime_survival": 0.777778, "best_return": 0.395846, "worst_return": -0.248803, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.032502, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.061609, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.602853, "worst_return": -0.346561, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.040289, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.053712, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.339366, "worst_return": -0.264286, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"date": "2026-07-17", "close": 67.650002, "volume": 34210, "typical_volume": 258366.35, "trend": 77.319667, "fair_value": 128.510068, "relative_strength": -29.034227, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.989168, "energy": 50.184803, "activity_lines": [ 70.102667, 71.093636, 73.749, 75.30514 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 64.25, "volume": 28616, "typical_volume": 251763.4, "trend": 76.634, "fair_value": 128.196054, "relative_strength": -29.646555, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.513425, "energy": 59.940291, "activity_lines": [ 67.949333, 69.770182, 72.695286, 74.461936 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 70.339996, "volume": 53854, "typical_volume": 245950.9, "trend": 76.311666, "fair_value": 127.932601, "relative_strength": -23.313721, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.295533, "energy": 46.053978, "activity_lines": [ 68.380666, 69.687817, 72.307476, 74.055871 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 70.489998, "volume": 51089, "typical_volume": 228871.0, "trend": 75.880666, "fair_value": 127.67459, "relative_strength": -22.288272, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.230045, "energy": 44.361973, "activity_lines": [ 68.890665, 69.645999, 71.987857, 73.680279 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }