{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f2e3255e-35ca-4483-881a-12de6380521f", "symbol": "VEIL", "name": "Vietnam Enterprise Ord", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -60.411, "architecture_energy": 76.908, "architecture_maturity": 11.228, "architecture_confidence": 85.934, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.61, "rotation_up": 13.54, "upward_expansion": 22.69, "deceleration": 31.35, "rotation_down": 72.22, "downward_expansion": 89.02 }, "activity_lines": [ 713.6, 730.927273, 745.72381, 751.658065 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 716.0, "trend_reference": 766.066667, "distance_from_trend": -0.065355, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 642.320513, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.114708, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -13.500507, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.113861, "excess_performance": -0.165097, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.065355, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.010804, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.114708, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.110722, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.135005, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.133701, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.113861, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.255844, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 318421, "relative_activity": 0.532974, "balance": 0.255844, "dry_up": 2.155104, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.035797, "annualized_volatility": 0.216479, "from_high_reference": -0.172254, "from_low_reference": 0.049853 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 766.066667, "fair_value_reference": 642.320513, "structural_low": 682.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": 0.028756, "positive_rate": 0.65, "directional_follow_through": 0.35, "median_excess_return": 0.019129, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.181655, "worst_return": -0.088629, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.029565, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.00562, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.316406, "worst_return": -0.206897, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.028886, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": 0.000107, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.53125, "worst_return": -0.193598, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.016907, "energy": 29.653332, "activity_lines": [ 756.6, 759.345455, 759.909524, 765.139785 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 690.0, "volume": 2989251, "typical_volume": 717530.4, "trend": 772.633333, "fair_value": 641.378205, "relative_strength": -15.865543, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.780015, "energy": 67.235717, "activity_lines": [ 734.2, 745.981818, 753.642857, 759.612903 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 703.0, "volume": 470403, "typical_volume": 701347.05, "trend": 769.666667, "fair_value": 641.75641, "relative_strength": -15.088778, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.372978, "energy": 78.882583, "activity_lines": [ 720.0, 736.636364, 748.980952, 755.12043 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 716.0, "volume": 318421, "typical_volume": 597441.45, "trend": 766.066667, "fair_value": 642.320513, "relative_strength": -13.500507, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.411369, "energy": 76.907828, "activity_lines": [ 713.6, 730.927273, 745.72381, 751.658065 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }