{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f2e6b906-5474-4c97-ba36-0a53f6ec8bb2", "symbol": "IPAY", "name": "AMPLIFY DIGITAL PAYMENTS ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 76.235, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 72.62, "architecture_energy": 73.785, "architecture_maturity": 13.169, "architecture_confidence": 62.52, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.85, "rotation_up": 75.8, "upward_expansion": 91.82, "deceleration": 42.17, "rotation_down": 9.64, "downward_expansion": 16.15 }, "activity_lines": [ 49.552773, 48.409376, 47.166761, 46.538329 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 50.5, "trend_reference": 46.34657, "distance_from_trend": 0.089617, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 50.0834, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.008318, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -10.393442, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.071732, "excess_performance": -0.053893, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.089617, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.033686, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.008318, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.070478, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.103934, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.114379, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.071732, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.895086, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 309231, "relative_activity": 1.51695, "balance": 0.895086, "dry_up": 1.799651, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.047445, "annualized_volatility": 0.282162, "from_high_reference": -0.165513, "from_low_reference": 0.223946 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 46.34657, "fair_value_reference": 50.0834, "structural_low": 41.26, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.025114, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.011749, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.068659, "worst_return": -0.067623, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.063123, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.015062, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.266631, "worst_return": -0.05224, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.053009, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.098799, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.134073, "worst_return": -0.142713, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 43.758772, "energy": 54.810386, "activity_lines": [ 48.042607, 46.675247, 46.054718, 45.964787 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 48.01, "volume": 753767, "typical_volume": 179234.6, "trend": 46.495353, "fair_value": 49.981909, "relative_strength": -11.977273, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 33.670345, "energy": 58.139941, "activity_lines": [ 48.304667, 47.051107, 46.301815, 46.051722 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 49.98, "volume": 337583, "typical_volume": 193386.2, "trend": 46.442237, "fair_value": 50.029189, "relative_strength": -8.781249, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 45.458836, "energy": 63.980028, "activity_lines": [ 48.982727, 47.726058, 46.725264, 46.276538 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 50.5, "volume": 309231, "typical_volume": 203850.45, "trend": 46.34657, "fair_value": 50.0834, "relative_strength": -10.393442, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.619878, "energy": 73.785405, "activity_lines": [ 49.552773, 48.409376, 47.166761, 46.538329 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }