{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f2efecc3-8568-4e6c-aaed-096f1ab99acc", "symbol": "5452", "name": "UNIC Technology Corp.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 89.415, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.279, "architecture_energy": 70.866, "architecture_maturity": 17.539, "architecture_confidence": 80.042, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.75, "rotation_up": 9.42, "upward_expansion": 15.96, "deceleration": 37.26, "rotation_down": 74.28, "downward_expansion": 91.63 }, "activity_lines": [ 26.206667, 27.92483, 30.010972, 30.821545 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 26.950001, "trend_reference": 31.492339, "distance_from_trend": -0.144236, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 27.863888, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.032798, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -31.239351, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.066625, "excess_performance": -0.507997, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.144236, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.065549, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.032798, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.195634, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.312394, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.098929, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.066625, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.087387, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1896794, "relative_activity": 0.173478, "balance": 2.087387, "dry_up": 0.24956, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.142689, "annualized_volatility": 0.559975, "from_high_reference": -0.335099, "from_low_reference": 0.385776 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 31.492339, "fair_value_reference": 27.863888, "structural_low": 22.4, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": -0.002969, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.026644, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 0.391892, "worst_return": -0.158497, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.017362, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.018589, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.381663, "worst_return": -0.232911, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.030374, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.051544, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.656127, "worst_return": -0.32556, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -44.854453, "energy": 54.956609, "activity_lines": [ 28.841311, 30.708017, 31.721689, 31.914287 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 24.75, "volume": 3628295, "typical_volume": 16096893.05, "trend": 31.685263, "fair_value": 27.816847, "relative_strength": -34.253499, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.913848, "energy": 74.879065, "activity_lines": [ 27.082193, 29.388833, 30.988936, 31.468225 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 26.25, "volume": 1936192, "typical_volume": 13754783.2, "trend": 31.538272, "fair_value": 27.83593, "relative_strength": -31.374071, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.759857, "energy": 73.487156, "activity_lines": [ 26.266666, 28.516575, 30.435923, 31.117563 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 26.950001, "volume": 1896794, "typical_volume": 10933898.8, "trend": 31.492339, "fair_value": 27.863888, "relative_strength": -31.239351, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.278833, "energy": 70.866182, "activity_lines": [ 26.206667, 27.92483, 30.010972, 30.821545 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }