{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f2fc58c0-6ead-41bd-a85b-63c6022939bc", "symbol": "603308", "name": "Anhui Yingliu Electromechanical Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 60.278, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Structural failure", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -66.981, "architecture_energy": 83.395, "architecture_maturity": 24.596, "architecture_confidence": 79.708, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.27, "rotation_up": 8.48, "upward_expansion": 20.4, "deceleration": 37.03, "rotation_down": 79.05, "downward_expansion": 96.07 }, "activity_lines": [ 45.928666, 50.743154, 58.279847, 60.637015 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 48.52, "trend_reference": 61.219714, "distance_from_trend": -0.207445, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 26.980602, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.798329, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -2.219731, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.056031, "excess_performance": -0.012827, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.207445, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.085469, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.798329, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.545122, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.022197, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.794203, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.056031, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.276811, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 92359693, "relative_activity": 1.081357, "balance": 0.276811, "dry_up": 1.193847, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 7 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.157095, "annualized_volatility": 0.674298, "from_high_reference": -0.426884, "from_low_reference": 0.896053 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 61.219714, "fair_value_reference": 26.980602, "structural_low": 40.82, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.104742, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.085033, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": -0.018395, "worst_return": -0.166099, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.046918, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.073343, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.01505, "worst_return": -0.078786, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.019701, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.039698, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.33612, "worst_return": -0.296719, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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"rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -48.963358, "energy": 64.754902, "activity_lines": [ 53.888834, 58.387597, 63.85201, 63.69524 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 44.099998, "volume": 108536543, "typical_volume": 87251533.1, "trend": 61.001048, "fair_value": 26.612751, "relative_strength": -6.967971, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -54.455758, "energy": 75.717098, "activity_lines": [ 49.429138, 55.118116, 61.788956, 62.612828 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 42.849998, "volume": 99282274, "typical_volume": 85772009.1, "trend": 60.994048, "fair_value": 26.776765, "relative_strength": -10.526162, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -51.877905, "energy": 79.32392, "activity_lines": [ 46.144818, 52.160271, 59.719234, 61.441793 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 48.52, "volume": 92359693, "typical_volume": 85410912.35, "trend": 61.219714, "fair_value": 26.980602, "relative_strength": -2.219731, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.981471, "energy": 83.394746, "activity_lines": [ 45.928666, 50.743154, 58.279847, 60.637015 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }