{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f30a3e39-971b-46d9-b3f9-c1060132ac88", "symbol": "JOCIL", "name": "Jocil Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 83.001, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 41.503, "architecture_energy": 24.716, "architecture_maturity": 35.255, "architecture_confidence": 87.769, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 35.94, "rotation_up": 35.79, "upward_expansion": 59.85, "deceleration": 80.61, "rotation_down": 25.19, "downward_expansion": 18.85 }, "activity_lines": [ 145.963331, 146.540909, 143.325715, 138.23557 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 147.0, "trend_reference": 133.73, "distance_from_trend": 0.09923, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 173.835954, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.154375, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 4.638042, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.113721, "excess_performance": 0.15743, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.09923, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.00176, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.154375, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.065979, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.04638, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.064989, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.113721, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 14.728414, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 37182, "relative_activity": 1.105886, "balance": 14.728414, "dry_up": 0.487703, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.080026, "annualized_volatility": 0.375013, "from_high_reference": -0.160576, "from_low_reference": 0.610959 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 133.73, "fair_value_reference": 173.835954, "structural_low": 91.25, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.056381, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.069454, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": -0.013828, "worst_return": -0.101478, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.117423, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.117121, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.03107, "worst_return": -0.203776, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.106324, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.156608, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.092709, "worst_return": -0.305356, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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"typical_volume": 33692.45, "trend": 133.383667, "fair_value": 174.953333, "relative_strength": 6.195307, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.653367, "energy": 38.366841, "activity_lines": [ 147.670671, 147.058003, 138.490287, 135.124044 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 142.770004, "volume": 12737, "typical_volume": 34010.35, "trend": 133.347001, "fair_value": 174.590884, "relative_strength": 2.070194, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.837373, "energy": 26.797451, "activity_lines": [ 145.734671, 146.652549, 139.553145, 135.729614 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 147.899994, "volume": 7787, "typical_volume": 34071.5, "trend": 133.503667, "fair_value": 174.282947, "relative_strength": 8.408169, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.770576, "energy": 26.674604, "activity_lines": [ 146.061334, 147.095274, 141.060478, 136.668517 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 144.289993, "volume": 7884, "typical_volume": 33577.25, "trend": 133.497, "fair_value": 174.031174, "relative_strength": 3.251785, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.745466, "energy": 24.576747, "activity_lines": [ 145.468664, 146.649091, 142.130048, 137.364409 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 147.0, "volume": 37182, "typical_volume": 33621.9, "trend": 133.73, "fair_value": 173.835954, "relative_strength": 4.638042, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 41.502775, "energy": 24.715584, "activity_lines": [ 145.963331, 146.540909, 143.325715, 138.23557 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }