{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "f30b9d59-ed19-43e8-9d78-b5cf7cf65f2c",
    "symbol": "TPXU",
    "name": "Amundi Index Solutions - Amundi Japan Topix",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 78.108,
    "architecture_energy": 45.381,
    "architecture_maturity": 64.948,
    "architecture_confidence": 66.352,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 26.74,
        "rotation_up": 47.34,
        "upward_expansion": 76.67,
        "deceleration": 70.55,
        "rotation_down": 26.28,
        "downward_expansion": 5.67
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 174.830002,
    "trend_reference": 161.391999,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.083263,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 127.707885,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.368984,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 4.342424,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.095701,
    "excess_performance": 0.044465,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.083263,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.04937,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.368984,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.02276,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.043424,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.027863,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.095701,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 5.428047,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
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      "relative_activity": 1.77824,
      "balance": 5.428047,
      "dry_up": 3.029178,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.026857,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.21841,
      "from_high_reference": -0.196073,
      "from_low_reference": 0.292166
    },
    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 127.707885,
      "structural_low": 144.869995,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 34,
        "median_return": 0.018537,
        "positive_rate": 0.705882,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.705882,
        "median_excess_return": -0.002927,
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        "best_return": 0.086369,
        "worst_return": -0.116502,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.073908,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "worst_return": -0.14239,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.277457,
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "trend": 154.054833,
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        "relative_strength": 7.128682,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 6075.1,
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        "relative_strength": 4.106869,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 6211.3,
        "trend": 153.799,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "trend": 154.555667,
        "fair_value": 123.914744,
        "relative_strength": 5.144251,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 164.884995,
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        "typical_volume": 6323.2,
        "trend": 155.223666,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "relative_strength": 4.016342,
        "stage": 2,
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        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.786624,
        "energy": 59.059048,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 4872.9,
        "trend": 157.838499,
        "fair_value": 125.614391,
        "relative_strength": 4.124107,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 68.420982,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 169.610001,
        "volume": 16604,
        "typical_volume": 5583.45,
        "trend": 158.652333,
        "fair_value": 126.044487,
        "relative_strength": 5.732454,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.842309,
        "energy": 71.727722,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 163.059998,
        "volume": 13266,
        "typical_volume": 6206.75,
        "trend": 159.256666,
        "fair_value": 126.432628,
        "relative_strength": 0.482447,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 56.537562,
        "energy": 40.560501,
        "activity_lines": [
          166.982665,
          166.761635,
          164.13157,
          162.226386
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 165.940002,
        "volume": 7858,
        "typical_volume": 6592.9,
        "trend": 159.938833,
        "fair_value": 126.822436,
        "relative_strength": 0.830168,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 45.670116,
        "energy": 34.081423,
        "activity_lines": [
          166.404,
          166.705363,
          164.615118,
          162.657569
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 166.309998,
        "volume": 95235,
        "typical_volume": 10478.85,
        "trend": 160.620999,
        "fair_value": 127.234647,
        "relative_strength": -0.307341,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 40.035294,
        "energy": 25.270646,
        "activity_lines": [
          166.212666,
          166.677272,
          165.077284,
          163.068612
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 174.830002,
        "volume": 20014,
        "typical_volume": 11254.95,
        "trend": 161.391999,
        "fair_value": 127.707885,
        "relative_strength": 4.342424,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.107967,
        "energy": 45.380643,
        "activity_lines": [
          168.862667,
          168.160636,
          166.27557,
          163.985322
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}