{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f31452bd-b395-4ff6-bcd1-43040b4ffa4c", "symbol": "192720", "name": "Kyobo Axa Power LVHD ETF - Equity", "exchange": "KSC", "country": "KR", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^KS11", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 67.801, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 32.83, "architecture_energy": 15.154, "architecture_maturity": 25.959, "architecture_confidence": 54.584, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 56.93, "rotation_up": 36.36, "upward_expansion": 52.12, "deceleration": 65.28, "rotation_down": 18.74, "downward_expansion": 18.12 }, "activity_lines": [ 58215.396615, 57837.468892, 58443.851079, 58151.667465 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 59450.0, "trend_reference": 57251.713412, "distance_from_trend": 0.038397, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 37474.981433, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.586392, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -5.801097, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.108046, "excess_performance": -0.121783, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.038397, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.075052, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.586392, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.183045, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.058011, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.231502, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.108046, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.012406, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 9685, "relative_activity": 0.293754, "balance": 1.012406, "dry_up": 0.304316, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.070762, "annualized_volatility": 0.30166, "from_high_reference": -0.078937, "from_low_reference": 0.488505 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 57251.713412, "fair_value_reference": 37474.981433, "structural_low": 49169.285488, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.004615, "positive_rate": 0.384615, "directional_follow_through": 0.384615, "median_excess_return": -0.026694, "regime_survival": 0.461538, "best_return": 0.11897, "worst_return": -0.094185, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.036934, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.006335, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.342313, "worst_return": -0.074693, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.015243, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.006056, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.300248, "worst_return": -0.084833, "sufficient": true 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"activity_lines": [ 58215.396615, 57837.468892, 58443.851079, 58151.667465 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }