{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f314c4d9-447e-4de3-a67d-fb5ad9e9d6f6", "symbol": "MCHP", "name": "Microchip Technology Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 84.791, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -15.789, "architecture_energy": 23.799, "architecture_maturity": 39.893, "architecture_confidence": 56.772, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 53.72, "rotation_up": 14.72, "upward_expansion": 19.87, "deceleration": 63.85, "rotation_down": 57.2, "downward_expansion": 35.87 }, "activity_lines": [ 80.513333, 83.594545, 86.576272, 83.915043 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 84.69, "trend_reference": 80.60771, "distance_from_trend": 0.050644, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 71.393209, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.186247, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 2.578468, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.126272, "excess_performance": -0.061182, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.050644, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.117362, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.186247, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.211076, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.025785, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.199052, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.126272, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.740931, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 69018256, "relative_activity": 1.27501, "balance": 0.740931, "dry_up": 1.084198, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.116016, "annualized_volatility": 0.511021, "from_high_reference": -0.196465, "from_low_reference": 0.780049 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 80.60771, "fair_value_reference": 71.393209, "structural_low": 59.022563, "invalidation": "A 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87.74212, 84.031459 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 78.86, "volume": 46593553, "typical_volume": 52150568.1, "trend": 79.933248, "fair_value": 71.357376, "relative_strength": 0.979031, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 0.027283, "energy": 15.521254, "activity_lines": [ 82.741333, 86.792364, 87.37931, 83.99365 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 74.29, "volume": 65945319, "typical_volume": 52983389.75, "trend": 80.265158, "fair_value": 71.336931, "relative_strength": -5.246394, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -28.857497, "energy": 30.202818, "activity_lines": [ 79.439333, 84.074, 86.512672, 83.629569 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 84.69, "volume": 69018256, "typical_volume": 54131554.9, "trend": 80.60771, "fair_value": 71.393209, "relative_strength": 2.578468, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -15.789201, "energy": 23.798827, "activity_lines": [ 80.513333, 83.594545, 86.576272, 83.915043 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }