{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "f33bb230-469b-4e2c-8ef0-d708ddd33f77",
    "symbol": "900925",
    "name": "Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical Industry Co.,Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHH",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "000001.SS",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 59.957,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 19.731,
    "architecture_energy": 14.652,
    "architecture_maturity": 26.083,
    "architecture_confidence": 59.19,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 44.16,
        "rotation_up": 41.53,
        "upward_expansion": 33.19,
        "deceleration": 39.85,
        "rotation_down": 28.93,
        "downward_expansion": 26.19
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        1.465,
        1.461887,
        1.432204,
        1.433506
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 1.481,
    "trend_reference": 1.459116,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.014998,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 1.092636,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.355438,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 4.833884,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.045747,
    "excess_performance": -0.002544,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.014998,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.010317,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.355438,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.05219,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.048339,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.107026,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.045747,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.310226,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1367408,
      "relative_activity": 0.596735,
      "balance": 1.310226,
      "dry_up": 0.880877,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.042328,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.268755,
      "from_high_reference": -0.0964,
      "from_low_reference": 0.287449
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 1.459116,
      "fair_value_reference": 1.092636,
      "structural_low": 1.29163,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.03662,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.020678,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.132883,
        "worst_return": -0.026396,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.043319,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.002061,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.306451,
        "worst_return": -0.09025,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.177503,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.125684,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.442877,
        "worst_return": -0.03699,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.232916,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.166519,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.380367,
        "worst_return": -0.041622,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-10-11",
        "end": "2025-01-10",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.095039,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-17",
        "end": "2025-02-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.046533,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-02-14",
        "end": "2025-04-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.047788,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-04-25",
        "end": "2025-05-02",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.003653,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-05-09",
        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.029623,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-06-13",
        "end": "2025-07-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0309,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-07-11",
        "end": "2025-07-18",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.017778,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-08-08",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.018003,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-08-15",
        "end": "2026-02-13",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.309643,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-02-27",
        "end": "2026-03-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.162366,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "end": "2026-05-01",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.010123,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2026-05-29",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.012257,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.096307,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.018569,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 2608892.45,
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        "fair_value": 1.082101,
        "relative_strength": 8.647625,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 19.288225,
        "energy": 41.881551,
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          1.478113,
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          1.417572,
          1.43521
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 1.417,
        "volume": 2329534,
        "typical_volume": 2437261.15,
        "trend": 1.466382,
        "fair_value": 1.085413,
        "relative_strength": 4.187342,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -2.085097,
        "energy": 22.439616,
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          1.460645,
          1.445089,
          1.418165,
          1.431773
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 1.475,
        "volume": 2087767,
        "typical_volume": 2399482.0,
        "trend": 1.462749,
        "fair_value": 1.089002,
        "relative_strength": 7.638912,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 18.153962,
        "energy": 19.326932,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.4638,
          1.453258,
          1.424858,
          1.432329
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 1.481,
        "volume": 1367408,
        "typical_volume": 2291481.95,
        "trend": 1.459116,
        "fair_value": 1.092636,
        "relative_strength": 4.833884,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 19.73078,
        "energy": 14.652404,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.465,
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          1.432204,
          1.433506
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}