{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f33cd986-4aab-4705-a63d-21df19c600f4", "symbol": "600176", "name": "China Jushi Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 21.215, "architecture_energy": 28.902, "architecture_maturity": 79.0, "architecture_confidence": 94.456, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.95, "rotation_up": 19.8, "upward_expansion": 55.02, "deceleration": 91.17, "rotation_down": 45.56, "downward_expansion": 23.35 }, "activity_lines": [ 41.905334, 48.282546, 45.635164, 41.265803 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 44.380001, "trend_reference": 35.189247, "distance_from_trend": 0.261181, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 16.219264, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.736252, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 67.597915, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 1.086346, "excess_performance": 1.12955, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.261181, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.472682, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.736252, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.084489, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.675979, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.278912, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.086346, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.307947, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1600346659, "relative_activity": 2.297695, "balance": 1.307947, "dry_up": 1.840262, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.23408, "annualized_volatility": 0.991271, "from_high_reference": -0.425129, "from_low_reference": 2.696778 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 35.189247, "fair_value_reference": 16.219264, "structural_low": 19.858177, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.016294, "positive_rate": 0.307692, "directional_follow_through": 0.307692, "median_excess_return": -0.012395, "regime_survival": 0.615385, "best_return": 0.1636, "worst_return": -0.07139, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.028538, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.014231, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.619257, "worst_return": -0.136744, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.069768, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.001936, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.413468, "worst_return": -0.133954, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-12-13", "end": "2025-01-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.037607, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-01-24", "end": "2025-03-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.090909, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-03-21", "end": "2025-04-25", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.073957, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-05-02", "end": "2025-06-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.03195, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-06-27", "end": "2025-07-04", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.07754, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-07-11", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "New", 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expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.372663, "energy": 62.174228, "activity_lines": [ 57.082667, 53.428748, 45.602844, 40.047122 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 37.34, "volume": 1102083419, "typical_volume": 584743797.1, "trend": 33.566412, "fair_value": 15.859861, "relative_strength": 51.83587, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.599119, "energy": 30.538303, "activity_lines": [ 49.661334, 51.298428, 45.428352, 40.3383 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 37.84, "volume": 1411054637, "typical_volume": 638517118.25, "trend": 34.27729, "fair_value": 16.019296, "relative_strength": 50.293609, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 20.189828, "energy": 27.33873, "activity_lines": [ 43.484, 49.19291, 45.248567, 40.614016 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 44.380001, "volume": 1600346659, "typical_volume": 696500974.6, "trend": 35.189247, "fair_value": 16.219264, "relative_strength": 67.597915, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 21.215093, "energy": 28.902275, "activity_lines": [ 41.905334, 48.282546, 45.635164, 41.265803 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }