{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f3593cb8-559e-449f-ad5e-6395b93a85ae", "symbol": "SBET", "name": "Sharplink Gaming Ltd", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -20.36, "architecture_energy": 17.511, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 59.209, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 52.59, "rotation_up": 34.62, "upward_expansion": 20.17, "deceleration": 43.83, "rotation_down": 17.46, "downward_expansion": 51.84 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.06, 5.753545, 5.933976, 6.213344 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 6.43, "trend_reference": 6.760833, "distance_from_trend": -0.048934, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 10.529679, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.389345, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -43.53749, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.085349, "excess_performance": -0.272802, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.048934, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.188115, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.389345, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.06197, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.435375, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.125242, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.085349, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.041676, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 27930010, "relative_activity": 0.689471, "balance": 1.041676, "dry_up": 0.980958, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.137565, "annualized_volatility": 0.594783, "from_high_reference": -0.77247, "from_low_reference": 0.441704 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.760833, "fair_value_reference": 10.529679, "structural_low": 4.46, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.030462, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.015261, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.152542, "worst_return": -0.377273, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.183517, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.28944, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.072917, "worst_return": -0.294118, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.345588, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.563348, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.345588, "worst_return": -0.345588, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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28.978651, "activity_lines": [ 5.578, 5.485545, 5.930738, 6.299151 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.12, "volume": 47565719, "typical_volume": 40199767.0, "trend": 6.8805, "fair_value": 10.561459, "relative_strength": -45.703196, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -35.297395, "energy": 19.350333, "activity_lines": [ 5.811, 5.590364, 5.914238, 6.242409 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.43, "volume": 27930010, "typical_volume": 40509320.5, "trend": 6.760833, "fair_value": 10.529679, "relative_strength": -43.53749, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -20.359598, "energy": 17.511293, "activity_lines": [ 6.06, 5.753545, 5.933976, 6.213344 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }