{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f35dabc5-dce7-4d82-b3fc-0f5f9a3f2710", "symbol": "603067", "name": "Hubei Zhenhua Chemical Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -54.28, "architecture_energy": 51.234, "architecture_maturity": 14.077, "architecture_confidence": 61.366, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 45.41, "rotation_up": 11.43, "upward_expansion": 10.66, "deceleration": 39.39, "rotation_down": 65.73, "downward_expansion": 79.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 32.161059, 34.745144, 36.124316, 36.439118 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 33.0, "trend_reference": 36.706111, "distance_from_trend": -0.100967, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 16.393118, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.01304, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 8.29531, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.033392, "excess_performance": 0.009812, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.100967, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.0674, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.01304, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.828233, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.082953, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.376229, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.033392, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.868749, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 132630056, "relative_activity": 1.063807, "balance": 0.868749, "dry_up": 1.085059, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.189881, "annualized_volatility": 0.863717, "from_high_reference": -0.337299, "from_low_reference": 1.293259 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 36.706111, "fair_value_reference": 16.393118, "structural_low": 28.309999, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.010526, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.016397, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.263615, "worst_return": -0.114016, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.063985, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.061525, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.78453, "worst_return": -0.198928, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.246931, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.285278, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.43281, "worst_return": 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"Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.716113, "energy": 41.795867, "activity_lines": [ 40.563304, 39.21866, 38.313808, 37.740157 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 32.400002, "volume": 130956968, "typical_volume": 128397395.85, "trend": 36.497111, "fair_value": 15.95545, "relative_strength": 14.773577, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 23.773598, "energy": 16.800866, "activity_lines": [ 38.387748, 38.013509, 37.776459, 37.481806 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 29.32, "volume": 133061642, "typical_volume": 126373347.2, "trend": 36.558111, "fair_value": 16.089855, "relative_strength": 1.537506, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -33.985781, "energy": 25.393213, "activity_lines": [ 35.152817, 36.383811, 36.985777, 37.018767 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 31.139999, "volume": 144469963, "typical_volume": 124934365.5, "trend": 36.566445, "fair_value": 16.235079, "relative_strength": 6.188747, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -30.594074, "energy": 36.76154, "activity_lines": [ 32.966079, 35.269387, 36.451285, 36.669211 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 33.0, "volume": 132630056, "typical_volume": 124674885.1, "trend": 36.706111, "fair_value": 16.393118, "relative_strength": 8.29531, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.280256, "energy": 51.234106, "activity_lines": [ 32.161059, 34.745144, 36.124316, 36.439118 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }