{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f37b399c-a526-41ed-8dee-325efd5575ce", "symbol": "300072", "name": "Beijing Haixin Energy Technology Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.282, "architecture_energy": 58.77, "architecture_maturity": 83.256, "architecture_confidence": 92.846, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.56, "rotation_up": 28.66, "upward_expansion": 11.16, "deceleration": 60.74, "rotation_down": 48.98, "downward_expansion": 82.16 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.417333, 3.442909, 3.714238, 4.029591 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 3.45, "trend_reference": 4.396333, "distance_from_trend": -0.215255, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.469359, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.00558, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -22.383031, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.273684, "excess_performance": -0.281084, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.215255, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.083142, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.00558, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.301467, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.22383, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.103855, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.273684, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.378416, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 115205058, "relative_activity": 0.601779, "balance": 0.378416, "dry_up": 0.811758, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.086734, "annualized_volatility": 0.477371, "from_high_reference": -0.460094, "from_low_reference": 0.109325 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.396333, "fair_value_reference": 3.469359, "structural_low": 3.11, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 32, "median_return": 0.004378, "positive_rate": 0.53125, "directional_follow_through": 0.46875, "median_excess_return": 0.009831, "regime_survival": 0.84375, "best_return": 0.600962, "worst_return": -0.220779, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.008912, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.038531, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 1.059701, "worst_return": -0.177616, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.017014, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.046985, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.631841, "worst_return": -0.232824, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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3.49, "volume": 124690874, "typical_volume": 224600216.55, "trend": 4.434667, "fair_value": 3.469487, "relative_strength": -17.607564, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.865407, "energy": 63.213082, "activity_lines": [ 3.401333, 3.457818, 3.779905, 4.093118 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.45, "volume": 115205058, "typical_volume": 191440765.2, "trend": 4.396333, "fair_value": 3.469359, "relative_strength": -22.383031, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.282123, "energy": 58.770089, "activity_lines": [ 3.417333, 3.442909, 3.714238, 4.029591 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }